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Learn about the climate drivers that influence seasonal forecasts and the impacts they can have on UK and global weather.

Seasonal forecasts rely on aspects of the global weather and climate system that are predictable. These are known as climate drivers and include tropical sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns over the North Atlantic. The predictable effects of climate drivers act alongside inherently

Rapid Response Review shows human-induced climate change promotes the conditions on which wildfires depend, increasing their likelihood.

Assessment Report in 2013. All the studies show links between climate change and increased frequency or severity of fire weather - periods with a high fire risk due to a combination of high temperatures, low humidity, low rainfall and often high winds - though some note anomalies in a few regions

Climate risk report for the Southern Africa region

The climate risk report for the Southern Africa region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments

This page explains how we study extreme weather events, to see if climate change was a cause. These attribution studies help shape our understanding of climate change and its impacts.

effect climate change had on an event. This might include many variables, like temperature and rainfall. An attribution case study: The European heatwave in 2019 In July 2019, we saw record breaking temperatures across the UK and Western Europe. In Cambridge, we saw a temperature of 38.7°C

Climate risk report for the Central Africa region

The climate risk report for the Central Africa region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments

Document history Version Purpose Date 0.1 Review 14/05/2021 1.0 Final delivery 30/07/2021 1.1 Revisions 27/10/2021 1.2 Revisions 20/10/2023 1.3 Climate analysis revisions, no socioeconomics 31/01/2025 have been updated 1.4 Review 28/02/2025 Lead authors Katy Richardson, Senior Scientist Amy Doherty

2020 has been a year of extremes with the wettest February on record, the sunniest spring, a heatwave in the summer and a day in October breaking rainfall records.

With just a few days left to go, 2020 looks likely to be the 3rd or 4th warmest on record depending on how cold the rest of the year turns out to be (full years statistics published 4th January 2021). This makes it clear that the general trend of warming as a consequence of climate change is being

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Climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region

The climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments