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to the surface the issues around communicating a ‘deterministic’ forecast. Many extension officers simply communicated that the season would be ‘wet’ and therefore the farmers should invest in crops. One particular group misunderstood the forecast, and farmers interpreted the 40% chance of ‘wet’ as being a 60

that falls in these seasons. In summer, convection caused by solar surface heating sometimes forms shower clouds and a large proportion of rain falls from showers and thunderstorms then. A further factor that greatly affects the rainfall distribution is altitude. Moist air that is forced to ascend hills

or more compared to 24 hours earlier, with double figures likely in many places. Alongside the warmth, wet and windy weather will return, particularly in the northwest where strong winds are expected Thursday night into Friday. Weekend outlook The weekend could bring some interesting developments

distribution to air frost. However, those places into which cold air can drain are particularly prone to frost. Examples include Altnaharra (Highland) with an average of 73 air frosts per year. In Northern Scotland the frost-free season is o en as little as 3 months, as shown by the average

the engagement with the government regarding Storm Bert and Darragh. The autumn season had been characterised by wet and windy conditions. Lynn Mawdsley (Non-Executive Director and Audit and Risk Assurance Committee (ARAC) Chair) provided a verbal report on the meeting the previous day. ARAC had met

As festival season kicks into high gear across the UK, revellers can expect a mixed bag of weather conditions, with warm temperatures, sunny spells, and the ever-present risk of showers. Here's the latest forecast for some of the major events taking place this week. Glastonbury Festival, Worthy

will continue to be a feature of the forecast until the end of the week. By the end of the weekend there is a signal that we may see a shift in type away from the Arctic-dominated conditions with milder and wetter weather coming in from the Atlantic. This transition could bring the risk of significant

Storm Claudia, named by the Spanish Meteorological Service due to ongoing impacts in Canary Islands, has resulted in Amber rain warnings in southern and central parts of England and Wales. Wider yellow warnings have also been issued for rain and wind, in what will be a very wet day for England

member of RCM-PPE that gives lower PSS values though). This is consistent with the large (and significant) cold and wet biases seen in the north of the UK in this model in this season (Figures 16 and 18). The nested CPM-MRI reduces the contribution to the total rainfall from days with high rainfall

monthly sunshine hours. Notable weather Storm Ashley, the first named storm of the 2024/25 season, brought wet and windy weather to the UK between 20-21 October with the strongest winds across north-western areas. While crossing the Atlantic the area of low pressure interacted with a powerful jet