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Learn about the climate drivers that influence seasonal forecasts and the impacts they can have on UK and global weather.
Seasonal forecasts rely on aspects of the global weather and climate system that are predictable. These are known as climate drivers and include tropical sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns over the North Atlantic. The predictable effects of climate drivers act alongside inherently
The Met Office are working in partnership with the Tanzania Meteorological Agency (TMA) on a capacity development project, known as CAROT – Climate Adaptation to Risks and for Opportunities in Tanzania. CAROT is part of the AIM4Resilience (Assisting Institutions and Markets for Resilience
The High Resolution Global Climate Modelling group both develops and analyses a hierarchy of model resolutions (ranging from 130km to 25km in the atmosphere, and 1 degree to ¼ degree in the ocean) based on the Met Office climate prediction model: HadGEM3 family configuration of the Unified Model
Rapid Response Review shows human-induced climate change promotes the conditions on which wildfires depend, increasing their likelihood.
Assessment Report in 2013. All the studies show links between climate change and increased frequency or severity of fire weather - periods with a high fire risk due to a combination of high temperatures, low humidity, low rainfall and often high winds - though some note anomalies in a few regions
A Met Office Hadley Centre dashboard monitoring key indicators of global climate is providing an authoritative way to stay up to date with the current state of the climate.
The Climate Dashboard – compiled by Met Office scientists – will help decision makers, including those at COP 26, to view how indicators of climate change, such as global temperature, ocean heat content, sea level rise, sea ice extent and atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are shifting
Details of the climate series maintained by the Met Office National Climate Information Centre
Met Office UK Climate series Access the data Update March 2023: The UK climate series have been updated and are now derived from v1.2.0.0 of the HadUK-Grid dataset. This update has included a second version of digitized Rainfall Rescue data, and an extension of the sunshine series back to 1910
News updates and newsletters for the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) service
News updates Shaping the Future of UK Climate Projections - 26 February 2025 The Met Office and Defra are launching a new consultation of our UK Climate Projections (UKCP) service to gather user perspectives. It’s an opportunity for users to share their experiences of using our climate information
2020 has been a year of extremes with the wettest February on record, the sunniest spring, a heatwave in the summer and a day in October breaking rainfall records.
With just a few days left to go, 2020 looks likely to be the 3rd or 4th warmest on record depending on how cold the rest of the year turns out to be (full years statistics published 4th January 2021). This makes it clear that the general trend of warming as a consequence of climate change is being
over the whole year it might seem rather unremarkable, however it is telling that whereas we consider 2021 as near-average for temperature in the context of the current climate, had this occurred just over three decades ago it would have been one of the UK’s warmest years on record. “Although 1°C
Northern Scotland will see the strongest winds and heaviest rain, however, Glasgow, where the COP26 climate conference is underway, does not escape the unsettled weather. Bonfire Night It will be mostly dry across the UK as a whole for Friday evening, but cloudier the further north you go. A few
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