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  • Aurora to be visible to parts of the UK tonight, but will it be clear?

    in the atmosphere, typically between 80 and 300 kilometres above the Earth’s surface. To see them, clear, dark skies are essential. Even thin cloud can obscure the subtle colours and movements of the aurora, while thick cloud makes sightings impossible. Light pollution from urban areas further reduces

  • Met Office daily weather: More hot weather to come

    Thursday will begin with residual showers and isolated thunderstorms lingering across the southeast, gradually clearing through the morning. Western areas will see scattered, mainly light showers developing later in the day. Across central and eastern Scotland, and possibly far northeast England

  • BlendedProbabilisticForecastparametercatalogue3xlsx

    ) Probability of any lightning flashes occuring in a 30km square region centred on a given point (approx. 15km radius). In each model grid cell the number of lightning flashes per square metre in the previous hour is calculated. The maximum of all of these values within a 30km square region (approx

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    to August - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Following the recent La Niña, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have returned to around normal with ENSO now in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later

  • What will the festive forecast bring for you?

    #WeatherAware⚠️ pic.twitter.com/u02C9Z4vtN — Met Office (@metoffice) December 24, 2025   https://www.youtube.com/watch/W7zvJ1W4oNs?start=0 Christmas Day is expected to be mostly dry with variable amounts of cloud and sunny spells in places. A few light showers are possible, particularly near

  • Guide to our Data Collections

    Governmental involvement. 1. RETURNS, REGISTERS, LOGS AND SUMMARIES — COLLATED DATA  Daily Registers  Climatological Returns  Lustrum forms  Ship, light vessel and light house logs Rainfall cards  Ten year rainfall books Daily Weather Summaries  Monthly Weather Summaries  British Rainfall  2. PRIVATE WEATHER DIARIES 3. AUTOGRAPHIC RECORDS 4. CHARTS 5. FORECAST INFORMATION 

  • Settled weekend before signs of some wetter weather to come

    A settled weekend for most As rain clears the southeast on Friday, high pressure will build across the UK, bringing a calmer and cooler feel to the start of the weekend. Saturday will be largely dry and settled for many, with sunny spells, generally light or moderate winds and temperatures around

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

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