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  • Understanding one of Europe's biggest climate drivers

    A new Met Office-led study – reviewing evidence from previous scientific papers and climate models – reveals natural patterns of weakening and strengthening of ocean currents which influence the UK’s weather and climate.

    In the North Atlantic lies one of the world’s largest climate mechanisms: a system of currents transporting relatively warm water from the tropics to the poles, with return currents at depth transporting colder, denser water further south. The transport of heat to the North Atlantic keeps the UK’s

  • UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC)

    The UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC) service and an associated community of practice are supporting near and long-term food security resilience to climate change impacts.

    What is the rationale for the service?  We recognise there is an urgent need for a coordinated approach to mitigate the impacts of climate change on UK food security.   The UK agri-food sector, which contributed £153.2 billion (6.2%) to national Gross Value Added in 2023 (Defra, 2025), is being

  • Supporting the development of user-based climate services

    ASPIRE – Adaptive Social Protection - Information for Enhanced Resilience Overview • ASPIRE will integrate climate information into social protection decision making in the Sahel so that it can become responsive to climate shocks. For example, increasing regular cash payments to vulnerable

  • africa-climate-outlook---march-2024.pdf

    Climate Outlook Africa: December to September AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook December to September Issued: March 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: December to September Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa

  • Connecting climate science to local adaptation action

    Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

  • An assessment of food security and climate change in Sudan

    Details of the World Food Programme and Met Office study into the relationship between long-term climate change and future food security.

    Download the full food security and climate change assessment for Sudan here. Sudan lies at the northern most extent of the band of tropical rains known as the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone. This means it has a strong gradient of rainfall, ranging from extremely dry conditions in the north

  • Met Office seasonal and climate models explained

    Some definitions of our seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions.

    Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

  • HadGEM1: Met Office climate prediction model

    HadGEM1 is the first in a new generation of coupled climate models incorporating a non-hydrostatic, fully compressible, deep atmosphere formulation with a semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian time integration scheme.

    Note that the most recent HadGEM model is the HadGEM3 HadGEM1 stands for the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 1. It was developed in 2006 and used in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The atmospheric component has 38 levels extending

  • World’s oceans capturing unrelenting climate change

    The world’s oceans are charting the unrelenting progress of climate change says a new global report: The State of the Climate in 2021.

    The 32nd annual State of the Climate report – published today by the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – shows that two marine-related measures – ocean heat content and global sea level rise – were the highest on record last year. Scientists measure climate change by a number

  • How climate science is protecting military capability

    From aircraft carriers operating in warmer seas to weapons systems performing in extreme conditions, climate change poses a critical risk to UK defence capabilities.  Using our climate expertise to support UK defence  During 2023, the Defence Science and Technology Laboratory (Dstl) was tasked

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