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• climate-outlook-user-guide---april-2025docx

  Climate Outlook User Guide The aim of the Met Office’s Climate Outlook product is to provide seasonal information, reviewing the last three months and looking forward 3-6 months, so that readers are informed of the seasonal variability affecting various countries. Multiple climate hazards

• Creating a five-year window into future climate

  Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

  (1850-1900). The last five-year period has been the warmest five years on record.  This year’s five-year climate forecasts predicts that: there is now a 20% chance of the world temporarily reaching 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels in one of the next five years there will be further enhanced warming of the Arctic compared to other regions increased risk of storminess across the Atlantic basin

• World’s oceans capturing unrelenting climate change

  The world’s oceans are charting the unrelenting progress of climate change says a new global report: The State of the Climate in 2021.

  The 32nd annual State of the Climate report – published today by the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society – shows that two marine-related measures – ocean heat content and global sea level rise – were the highest on record last year. Scientists measure climate change by a number

• global-climate-outlook---january-2026.pdf

  Climate Outlook Global: October to July Global: Monthly Climate Outlook October to July Issued: January 2026 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Global: October to July Overview MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status

• Met Office seasonal and climate models explained

  Some definitions of our seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions.

  Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

• UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC)

  The UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC) service and an associated community of practice are supporting near and long-term food security resilience to climate change impacts.

  What is the rationale for the service?  We recognise there is an urgent need for a coordinated approach to mitigate the impacts of climate change on UK food security.   The UK agri-food sector, which contributed £153.2 billion (6.2%) to national Gross Value Added in 2023 (Defra, 2025), is being

• Understanding one of Europe's biggest climate drivers

  A new Met Office-led study – reviewing evidence from previous scientific papers and climate models – reveals natural patterns of weakening and strengthening of ocean currents which influence the UK’s weather and climate.

  In the North Atlantic lies one of the world’s largest climate mechanisms: a system of currents transporting relatively warm water from the tropics to the poles, with return currents at depth transporting colder, denser water further south. The transport of heat to the North Atlantic keeps the UK’s

• Rainfall across Europe disrupted by climate change

  of Climate, also found that increasing greenhouse gas emissions are associated with increases in extreme rainfall events. As our atmosphere warms due to human induced climate change, it can hold more moisture. For every 1°C of warming the atmosphere can hold between 6-7% more moisture. This has

• central-africa-climate-risk-report-finalpdf

  Climate risk report for the Central Africa region Authors: Amy Doherty, Megan Pearce, Roger Calow, Gabrielle Daoust, Adam Higazi, Laura Burgin and Rebecca Osborne Reviewers: Richard Jones and Jane Strachan Recommended citation: Doherty et al. (2022) Climate risk report for the Central Africa region

• session-3---climate-change-and-impacts---welsh.pdf

  bron yn amhosibl heb ddylanwad dynol – er enghraifft tywydd poeth y DU ym mis Gorffennaf 2022. Mae gan ein gwefan https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/climatechange/effects-of-climate-change hwybodaeth am effeithiau presennol ac yn y dyfodol ar bobl ac ecosystemau ar gyfer y byd a’r DU. Gallwn ni i gyd