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• Creating a five-year window into future climate

  Providing annually-updated five-year climate predictions at global and continental scales is the focus of a new international science collaboration co-ordinated by the WMO and led by the UK’s Met Office.

  (1850-1900). The last five-year period has been the warmest five years on record.  This year’s five-year climate forecasts predicts that: there is now a 20% chance of the world temporarily reaching 1.5 C above pre-industrial levels in one of the next five years there will be further enhanced warming of the Arctic compared to other regions increased risk of storminess across the Atlantic basin

• central-africa-climate-risk-report-finalpdf

  Climate risk report for the Central Africa region Authors: Amy Doherty, Megan Pearce, Roger Calow, Gabrielle Daoust, Adam Higazi, Laura Burgin and Rebecca Osborne Reviewers: Richard Jones and Jane Strachan Recommended citation: Doherty et al. (2022) Climate risk report for the Central Africa region

• UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) guidance and reports

  Guidance, reports and factsheets to help ultilise UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) data and products

  Introduction  This page provides UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) guidance documents, reports, factsheets and technical notes to help users know about, understand and utilise UKCP18 data and products. We have separated the documentation into the following sections: ‘General UKCP Documentation

• Climate change increases global burnt area

  A new international study has revealed climate change is contributing to an increase in wildfires worldwide, despite human interventions trying to temper this trend.

  The study - led by a team of scientists from the Met Office and Vrije Universiteit Brussel (VUB)  -compares wildfire models with and without the effects of climate change. It shows that in many regions the frequency and intensity of wildfires is increasing, especially in sensitive ecosystems

• africa-climate-outlook---june-2025.pdf

  Climate Outlook Africa: March to December AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook March to December Issued: June 2025 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: March to December Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status

• west-africa-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

  ............................................................................................... 41 1.3 How to use this report ................................................................................................ 43 2 Vulnerability and climate resilience in West Africa: an intersectional approach

• Met Office climate scientist awarded an OBE

  Professor Jason Lowe, Head of Climate Services at the Met Office, is a world-leading expert in climate science. His work has been recognised in the Queen’s Birthday Honours list 2020, where he was awarded an OBE.

  Professor Lowe’s work has helped the UK and other countries plan for and respond to the impacts of climate change, directly shaping national and international policy and informing vital decisions to protect businesses and communities. He has pioneered a more collaborative approach to climate

• HadGEM1: Met Office climate prediction model

  HadGEM1 is the first in a new generation of coupled climate models incorporating a non-hydrostatic, fully compressible, deep atmosphere formulation with a semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian time integration scheme.

  Note that the most recent HadGEM model is the HadGEM3 HadGEM1 stands for the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 1. It was developed in 2006 and used in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The atmospheric component has 38 levels extending

• asia-climate-outlook---july-2024.pdf

  Climate Outlook Asia: April to January Asia: Monthly Climate Outlook April to January Issued: July 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Asia: April to January Overview Asia Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Asia Current Status and Outlook

• east-africa-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

  Climate risk report for the East Africa region Authors: Katy Richardson, Roger Calow, Florence Pichon, Stacey New, and Rebecca Osborne Reviewers: Richard Jones, Jane Strachan, Kirsty Lewis, Mandar Trivedi, and Leah Mwai Recommended citation: Richardson, K., Calow, R., Pichon, F., New, S