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  • Climbing temperatures and potential thunderstorms - a week of contrasting conditions

    .  Early week overview  Many areas will see a fine and largely dry start to the week, with light winds and hazy sunshine. Northern coastal areas will be cloudier and cooler, with a chance of light rain at first.   By Tuesday, a north-south split in conditions is expected. Central, eastern

  • helibrief_help_-_aerodrome_forecast_-_taf_decodepdf

    'Eight kilometres' 9999 = 10 km or more; 0000 = less than 50 metres -SHRA 9 Significant changes FEW005 SCT010 SCTO18CB BKN025 'Light rain showers' 'Few at 500 feet, scattered at one thousand feet, scattered cumulonimbus at one thousand eight hundred feet. Broken at two thousand five hundred feet

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    to August - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – Following the recent La Niña, sea surface temperatures in the tropical Pacific have returned to around normal with ENSO now in a neutral state. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    . There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    % likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    that both oceanic and atmospheric indicators reveal borderline La Niña conditions still remain across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres

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