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  • Met Office seasonal and climate models explained

    Some definitions of our seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions.

    Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

  • mofs-diy-activity-resources-climate-stripes_welsh.pdf

  • An assessment of food security and climate change in Sudan

    Details of the World Food Programme and Met Office study into the relationship between long-term climate change and future food security.

    Download the full food security and climate change assessment for Sudan here. Sudan lies at the northern most extent of the band of tropical rains known as the Inter-tropical Convergence Zone. This means it has a strong gradient of rainfall, ranging from extremely dry conditions in the north

  • east-africa-climate-risk-report-final.pdf

    Climate risk report for the East Africa region Authors: Katy Richardson, Roger Calow, Florence Pichon, Stacey New, and Rebecca Osborne Reviewers: Richard Jones, Jane Strachan, Kirsty Lewis, Mandar Trivedi, and Leah Mwai Recommended citation: Richardson, K., Calow, R., Pichon, F., New, S

  • The Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a changing climate

    Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

  • Landmark report stresses urgency of climate crisis

    Time is short to avert the worst impacts of climate change, but the report also reminds us there is no scientific reason to delay action.

    : “This report paints the starkest picture yet of the global and regional impacts of climate change. Time is short to avert the worst impacts of climate change, but the report also reminds us there is no scientific reason to delay action. The case is clear. More focussed projections of future climate change

  • UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) guidance and reports

    Guidance, reports and factsheets to help ultilise UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) data and products

    Introduction  This page provides UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) guidance documents, reports, factsheets and technical notes to help users know about, understand and utilise UKCP18 data and products. We have separated the documentation into the following sections: ‘General UKCP Documentation

  • Communicate smarter about climate change action

    New online tool will help communicate co-benefits of climate action.

    Policy analysts and planners will be able to communicate smarter about climate change action by using a new online decision-support tool which has been launched today at COP27. Developed by researchers at the University of Leeds and the Met Office, it synthesises the latest scientific evidence

  • HadGEM1: Met Office climate prediction model

    HadGEM1 is the first in a new generation of coupled climate models incorporating a non-hydrostatic, fully compressible, deep atmosphere formulation with a semi-implicit semi-Lagrangian time integration scheme.

    Note that the most recent HadGEM model is the HadGEM3 HadGEM1 stands for the Hadley Centre Global Environment Model version 1. It was developed in 2006 and used in the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The atmospheric component has 38 levels extending

  • UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC)

    The UK National Climate Crop Capability (UKNCCC) service and an associated community of practice are supporting near and long-term food security resilience to climate change impacts.

    What is the rationale for the service?  We recognise there is an urgent need for a coordinated approach to mitigate the impacts of climate change on UK food security.   The UK agri-food sector, which contributed £153.2 billion (6.2%) to national Gross Value Added in 2023 (Defra, 2025), is being

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