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to be drier and cooler seasons wetter. This also means that any correlations found between crop yields and either of these variables are not mutually exclusive, and so multivariate correlation will be explored in Section 3.5. Figure 4: Scatter plot of WFDEI JAS season total precipitation against

of work which showed a role for Tropical Atlantic forcing in the very wet winters of 2013-14 and 2015-16. Jeff has a personal interest in North Atlantic Ocean variability. Furthering understanding of the model mechanisms that lead to such variability on a range of timescales will help improve

accurate was the Met Office’s summer forecasting? Author: Press Office 30 September 2025 Summer 2025 went down as provisionally the warmest on record for the UK, but how accurate was the Met Office forecast through the season? We crunch the numbers to find out… The warmest summer on record, drought

, all being generally drier than average. The autumn months were wetter than average, although this was not enough to fully offset the deficit from the previous eight months. It was a sunnier than average year for most areas, especially eastern England, with only some northern and western fringes

interesting facts about Autumn Author: Press Office 5 September 2025 Autumn is a season of transition, marking the shift from the warmth of summer to the chill of winter. In the UK, autumn is celebrated for its vibrant colours, changing weather, and rich traditions. In this blog we’ll be looking

Storm Henk, 2 January 2024 Storm Henk, the eighth storm of the 2023-2024 storm season, brought damaging winds and heavy rain to southern and central parts of England and Wales on 2 January 2024. Winds gusted widely at over 50Kt (58mph), even in inland locations, while Exeter Airport recorded a gust

with partners in Brazil, China, India, South Africa and Southeast Asia. International collaboration is vital to addressing the issues presented by global weather and climate change. Outputs from the WCSSP programme support the UN’s Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) with world-leading weather

of Responsibility (PAR), with an average of 17 TCs (12 typhoons) per year (Met-Office, 2014). About 7 TCs (5 typhoons) make landfall each year, typically towards the end of the main TC season. Factors influencing tropical cyclones in the region Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) of at least 27°C are required

Weather warnings have been issued by the Met Office with wet and windy weather to continue over the next few days.

in from the west, bringing further wet and windy weather. It will feel rather cold, with parts of Northern Ireland, Wales and western and southern England seeing a frost on Saturday morning.  Sunday could see rain linger again across the northeast of the UK, with sunny spells and blustery, heavy shower

a big impact on UK weather, particularly by determining the position of the North Atlantic Storm track in winter. For example, read about the influence of the jet stream on the unusually wet October 2019 (https://blog.metoffice.gov. uk/2019/11/04/the-jet-stream-casts-its-shadow-over-the-uk