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Attributing extreme weather to climate change

This page explains how we study extreme weather events, to see if climate change was a cause. These attribution studies help shape our understanding of climate change and its impacts.

effect climate change had on an event. This might include many variables, like temperature and rainfall. An attribution case study: The European heatwave in 2019 In July 2019, we saw record breaking temperatures across the UK and Western Europe. In Cambridge, we saw a temperature of 38.7°C

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Record high temperatures verified

The UK’s new record-high temperature of 40.3°C at Coningsby, Lincolnshire, has been confirmed by the Met Office, following a rigorous process of analysis and quality control.

reflect our weather and climate and have not been adversely influenced by other factors.   Dr Mark McCarthy of the National Climate Information Centre said: “Verification of these record-breaking temperatures confirms what we’ve been saying in the last week, that the UK exceeded 40°C for the first time

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Joint-warmest September on record for UK

The UK had its joint-warmest September on record in a series which goes back to 1884 according to provisional Met Office statistics.

of climate change. England and Wales had their respective warmest September on record according to mean temperature. England’s provisional figure of 16.7°C topped the previous record of 16.5°C set in 2006. Wales’ 15.6°C also beat its 2006 figure of 15.2°C. For Northern Ireland, September 2023

PowerPoint Presentation

Accessing UKCP Data: User Interface Observations UKCP18 includes a comprehensive set of observations of weather and climate covering the UK, with some records extending back over 150 years. Examining observations enables us to place the model simulated climate into context. Read More. Accessing UKCP

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2023: The warmest year on record globally

global temperature dataset which runs from 1850. Dr Colin Morice is a Climate Monitoring and Research Scientist with the Met Office. He said: “2023 is now confirmed as the warmest year on average over the globe in 174-years of observation. 2023 also set a series of monthly records, monthly global

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Victorian rainfall data rescued

Record-breaking Victorian weather has been revealed from millions of archived rainfall records.

we’re seeing today.” Dr Mark McCarthy, head of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, said: “The UK rainfall record is notoriously variable, with extremes of weather presenting us with drought and floods. The more we can shine a light into the earlier chapters and extremes within

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2019: A year in review

2019 has been a year of extremes: record-breaking heat and rain, along with notable spells of cold and windy weather have all been prominent.

As we approach year-end, we’ve highlighted the most notable climate features of the year, including two all-time temperature records:  Warmest winter day on record: 21.2 °C recorded at Kew Garden on 26 February  Hottest day on record: 38.7 °C recorded at Cambridge University Botanic Gardens on 25

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Warmest February on record for England and Wales

England and Wales had their respective warmest Februarys on record according to provisional Met Office statistics in what was a mild and wet month for many.

.  Declining ground frosts in a changing climate  With a warmer than average season, a declining number of ground frosts was again evident for the UK, with significantly fewer ground frosts than average, though it doesn’t trouble any records. If you want to learn more about the reduction in frosts and why

snow-and-low-temperatures---28-30-october-2008---met-office.pdf

previous date that any snow was recorded during October over this climate district was 29 October 1974, but in London it was 31 October 1934. There were also reports of snow lying at 0900 UTC (the time which climate stations take their daily observations) on 29 October 2008 from stations across SE

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A look back at the weather and climate in 2020

2020 has been a year of extremes with the wettest February on record, the sunniest spring, a heatwave in the summer and a day in October breaking rainfall records.

With just a few days left to go, 2020 looks likely to be the 3rd or 4th warmest on record depending on how cold the rest of the year turns out to be (full years statistics published 4th January 2021). This makes it clear that the general trend of warming as a consequence of climate change is being

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