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). A target could be to have information available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based

Weather warnings have been issued by the Met Office with wet and windy weather to continue over the next few days.

in from the west, bringing further wet and windy weather. It will feel rather cold, with parts of Northern Ireland, Wales and western and southern England seeing a frost on Saturday morning.  Sunday could see rain linger again across the northeast of the UK, with sunny spells and blustery, heavy shower

After a hot and dry June, July followed up with a wet and slightly cool month for many as low pressure brought frequent periods of winds and rain. Northern Ireland saw more than double its average rainfall for the month, with 185.4mm (207% of its long-term average) the provisional figure

a big impact on UK weather, particularly by determining the position of the North Atlantic Storm track in winter. For example, read about the influence of the jet stream on the unusually wet October 2019 (https://blog.metoffice.gov. uk/2019/11/04/the-jet-stream-casts-its-shadow-over-the-uk

Catherine’s Point (Isle of Wight) recorded 953.6hPa, England’s lowest November pressure on record. Ciarán also brought further significant and unwelcome heavy rainfall on top of persistent wet weather through much of October. Impacts The worst of the impacts from storm Ciarán occurred across

, i.e. v2018 and v2022 or the “original” and “new”. We have also included three scientific improvements to the methodology that improve the utility of the data. These are: • The statistical treatment of precipitation to avoid physically implausible values and improve the projections of dry- and wet

: Rainfall in the first half of September: A wet start, but the deficit remains October  October started with the naming of Storm Amy, the first named storm of the 2025/26 season. Storm Amy brought very strong winds and heavy rain to northern and western areas, with amber warnings highlighting the risk

to be drier and cooler seasons wetter. This also means that any correlations found between crop yields and either of these variables are not mutually exclusive, and so multivariate correlation will be explored in Section 3.5. Figure 4: Scatter plot of WFDEI JAS season total precipitation against

islands of plants in Loktak Lake Manipur India during monsoon season. Image: Shutterstock. Harnessing the extensive weather and climate scientific expertise of over 700 researchers from more than 50 institutes around the world, projects range from the development of solar radiation forecasts

is with a baseball player (or to choose another sport, a cricketer) who starts taking steroids and afterwards hits on average 20% more home runs (or sixes) in a season than he did before (Meehl 2012). For any one of his home runs (sixes) during the years the player was taking steroids, you would