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by the Joint UK DECC/Defra Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme (GA01101). 4 Executive Summary Land temperature l 2014 was the warmest year on record for the UK, England, Wales and Scotland in a series from 1910, and for Central England in a series from 1659. l 8 of the 10 warmest years

in developed countries than for countries in the global south. Confidence in climate attribution analysis relies on high quality observational records, climate models’ abilities to simulate a particular type of event, and scientific understanding of how natural variability and climate change may influence

in that period including an attribution study of the UK’s record-breaking annual temperature in 2022, where human-induced climate change made this event around 160 times more likely.  In December 2023, the Met Office annual global temperature forecast was published. Global average temperature rise

2024 was the warmest year on record globally and the first year that was likely more than 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels: a stark reminder global temperatures are continuing to rise.

exceeded the previous warmest year – 2016 - by 0.17°C, making 2024 and 2023 the warmest and second-warmest years on record.   A number of global climate centres will be releasing their 2024 average temperature figures today.  The latest figures highlight how the world is getting closer to breaching

Learn about the climate drivers that influence seasonal forecasts and the impacts they can have on UK and global weather.

Seasonal forecasts rely on aspects of the global weather and climate system that are predictable. These are known as climate drivers and include tropical sea-surface temperatures and pressure patterns over the North Atlantic. The predictable effects of climate drivers act alongside inherently

This page explains how we study extreme weather events, to see if climate change was a cause. These attribution studies help shape our understanding of climate change and its impacts.

effect climate change had on an event. This might include many variables, like temperature and rainfall. An attribution case study: The European heatwave in 2019 In July 2019, we saw record breaking temperatures across the UK and Western Europe. In Cambridge, we saw a temperature of 38.7°C

Rapid Response Review shows human-induced climate change promotes the conditions on which wildfires depend, increasing their likelihood.

Assessment Report in 2013. All the studies show links between climate change and increased frequency or severity of fire weather - periods with a high fire risk due to a combination of high temperatures, low humidity, low rainfall and often high winds - though some note anomalies in a few regions

Climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region

The climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments

Leadership and services to climate science recognised in New Year Honours for Met Office Science Fellow

Richard Jones, who is a Met Office Science Fellow, and a visiting Professor at the University of Oxford has been working in climate science for thirty-two years, and has been a prominent author for the IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) across its last four assessment reports