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Attributing extreme weather to climate change
This page explains how we study extreme weather events, to see if climate change was a cause. These attribution studies help shape our understanding of climate change and its impacts.
effect climate change had on an event. This might include many variables, like temperature and rainfall. An attribution case study: The European heatwave in 2019 In July 2019, we saw record breaking temperatures across the UK and Western Europe. In Cambridge, we saw a temperature of 38.7°C
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Southeast Asia climate risk report
Climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region
The climate risk report for the Southeast Asia region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments
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High resolution global climate modelling
The High Resolution Global Climate Modelling group both develops and analyses a hierarchy of model resolutions (ranging from 130km to 25km in the atmosphere, and 1 degree to ¼ degree in the ocean) based on the Met Office climate prediction model: HadGEM3 family configuration of the Unified Model
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southern-africa-climate-risk-report-final-.pdf
in these islands are greater than 1500mm per year (Figure 4). Observed trends in regional climate for Southern Africa Observational records show that Southern Africa’s average annual surface temperatures increased by between 1°C and 1.5°C from 1961 to 2015. Minimum temperatures have increased more
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southern-africa-climate-risk-report-final-pdf
in these islands are greater than 1500mm per year (Figure 4). Observed trends in regional climate for Southern Africa Observational records show that Southern Africa’s average annual surface temperatures increased by between 1°C and 1.5°C from 1961 to 2015. Minimum temperatures have increased more
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climate-risk-report-for-sea---v6-final-april-2026.pdf
as a result of human-induced climate change (Oliver et al., 2018). This marine heatwave persisted for 298 days, the longest on record for this region, with an average intensity of 2°C (Iskandar et al., 2021). Precipitation has generally increased by around 0.2- 0.5mm/day per decade, although this trend
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trd---climate-risk-report-for-csa---v4-final.pdf
to lack of reliable observation records (Fallah et al., 2023). Central Asian countries such as Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan have very complex topography which requires high resolution climate data (~30km) for regional trend attribution studies (Fallah et 16 al., 2023). Central Asian trend attribution
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02278 great place to work - its who we are - AUG 23 UPDATE
Ross Archivist We’re experts by nature. It’s who we are. What I do makes a difference... ...because my work at the National Meteorological Library & Archive supports climate scientists by preserving important historical records and valuable data. Extraordinary impact and benefit To make a difference
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paper2_recent_pause_in_global_warming.pdf
this? First, periods of slowing down and pauses in surface warming are not unusual in the instrumental temperature record. Second, climate model simulations suggest that we can expect such a period of a decade or more to occur at least twice per century, due to internal variability alone. Third
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Record-breaking rain more likely due to climate change
Record-breaking rainfall like that seen on 3 October 2020 could be 10 times more likely by 2100.
Europe, especially south-east France and north-west Italy. Head of the Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre, Mark McCarthy, said: “The record daily UK rainfall recorded on 3 October 2020 in the wake of Storm Alex was really quite extreme. The preceding drier conditions through September