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. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases with most modelling centres now favouring the chance of a short-lived La Niña event. Some cooling of sea surface temperatures is now being observed in the central Pacific. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Rainfall Should La Niña

conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

Tuesday will bring a mix of weather across the UK. Much of England and Wales can expect a dry day with sunny spells, particularly away from the northern and western fringes. Here, cloud will be more prevalent, with outbreaks of mainly light rain and drizzle, especially in the north-west

parts, particularly in rural locations, where lows of 4-6°C are possible. Outlook for Friday Saturday will begin largely dry and fine across much of the UK. A few light showers may linger in the southeast during the morning, but these will quickly clear. Sunny spells will develop widely, making

, potentially heavy, are forecast. Winds will be light, and temperatures will be closer to the seasonal average, peaking at 9°C. Fans should be ready for sudden downpours. Tottenham Hotspur vs Brentford (15:00) London will be breezy, with sunny spells and scattered heavy showers. Maximum temperature

of light rain may affect the south at times. As the day progresses, cloud will thicken and outbreaks of rain, heavy at times, will spread in from the southwest. There is a chance of embedded thunderstorms within the frontal bands. Winds will be light to moderate to begin with, perhaps strong

and central parts, particularly in rural locations, where lows of 4-6°C are possible. Outlook for Friday Saturday will begin largely dry and fine across much of the UK. A few light showers may linger in the southeast during the morning, but these will quickly clear. Sunny spells will develop widely

clearer or brighter spells are likely, most notably in the far south-west, the Northern Isles, and to the lee of high ground elsewhere. Where skies clear overnight, patchy mist or fog may develop. Winds will generally be light, and temperatures will be near or slightly below average by day. Most

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