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• Met Office daily weather: Rain and cloud but some sunny spells to break through

  the morning. Winds will be mostly light, and temperatures will be very mild once again. After a very mild start to the week, temperatures will fall but will largely stay above average by the weekend Feeling fresher for all from Saturday🌡️ pic.twitter.com/pkc4MSR4Bi — Met Office (@metoffice

• Microsoft Word - Feb2021_fulldocument_v1.docx

  from the week of wintry weather from 7th February. On 7th and 8th eastern coastal counties of England were affected by snow, particularly across the south-east. Some covid vaccination centres were closed in Suffolk and Essex due to snow, with road traffic collisions, fallen trees and dangerous driving

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

• PowerPoint Presentation

  that both oceanic and atmospheric indicators reveal borderline La Niña conditions still remain across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres

• PowerPoint Presentation

  to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

• PowerPoint Presentation

  % likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

• PowerPoint Presentation

  the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau