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and central parts, particularly in rural locations, where lows of 4-6°C are possible. Outlook for Friday Saturday will begin largely dry and fine across much of the UK. A few light showers may linger in the southeast during the morning, but these will quickly clear. Sunny spells will develop widely

clearer or brighter spells are likely, most notably in the far south-west, the Northern Isles, and to the lee of high ground elsewhere. Where skies clear overnight, patchy mist or fog may develop. Winds will generally be light, and temperatures will be near or slightly below average by day. Most

% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

in between with temperatures returning to average. Further bands of rain will move across northern parts with strong winds at times. There could be some light, patchy rain in the south on Friday and Saturday before a drier and sunnier day on Sunday. For those going to Glastonbury, after a mild

Tuesday will bring a mix of weather across the UK. Much of England and Wales can expect a dry day with sunny spells, particularly away from the northern and western fringes. Here, cloud will be more prevalent, with outbreaks of mainly light rain and drizzle, especially in the north-west