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• PowerPoint Presentation

  % likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

• PowerPoint Presentation

  that both oceanic and atmospheric indicators reveal borderline La Niña conditions still remain across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres

• PowerPoint Presentation

  to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

• PowerPoint Presentation

  the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

• Met Office daily weather: Cloudy and feeling cooler

  are expected to improve later in the day as the main band of rain clears southwards, giving way to sunny spells. Further north, much of Scotland and northern England will enjoy a brighter day with plenty of sunshine and light winds. However, cloud and patchy light rain are forecast to edge

• Met Office daily weather: Temperatures on the rise as we hit midweek

  across parts of northwest Scotland and possibly the north of Northern Ireland, where it will remain breezy. Elsewhere, light winds and variable cloud cover may bring the odd light shower, but these will be isolated. 🌡️ Heat is building across the UK this week, temperatures could reach 32-33°C

• Met Office daily weather: Dry with sunny spells albeit slightly cooler

  Tuesday will begin with low cloud across many areas, particularly in the east. While this cloud will gradually break up inland through the day, some eastern coastal regions may remain rather cloudy. A band of thicker cloud accompanied by light rain or drizzle will move south-southwest across