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Strong winds affecting parts of the UK

to see here in the UK and the hurricanes affecting the United States and the Caribbean at present.   This system originated well north in the Atlantic Ocean, independent of the current Caribbean hurricanes. It is a fairly typical autumnal low pressure system often seen here in the UK especially later

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Atlantic tropical cyclones influencing the forecast

an unsettled week.  “During autumn, forecasters have the added complication of trying to estimate the impacts of ex-hurricanes when they work their way into the North Atlantic. Although the cooler conditions outside of the tropics cause them to decay quickly, they can bring disruption to weather patterns

4c Forecast_verification_Nov2010_final JC

Advisor Seasonal tropical storm forecast verification Issued November 2010 © Crown copyright 2010 1 Seasonal tropical storm forecast verification Issued November 2010 Executive summary 3 Forecast verification 3 Verification of the Met Office 4 public forecast The 2010 hurricane season 4 Concluding

North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2014

to the 1980-2010 long-term average of 12. The most likely number of hurricanes predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 6, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 3 to 9. This represents near normal activity relative to the 1980-2010 long-term

North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2016

-term average is 12. The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 74 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 8, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 6 to 10. The 1980-2010 long-term average is 6. An ACE index of 125 is predicted

North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2018

average is 12. The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 74 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 6, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 4 to 8. The 1981-2010 long-term average is 6. An ACE index of 105 is predicted

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An unsettled period on the horizon

Turning unsettled again as we move through the weekend, then, ex-Hurricane Kirk likely reaching northwest Europe from midweek and potentially bringing disruptive weather for the UK.

cloud and rain could hamper viewing potential for some.” Find the latest space weather forecast from the Met Office.    Potentially disruptive weather possible later next week From midweek, Hurricane Kirk, which is currently in the Atlantic, poses a threat of bringing disruptive rain and wind

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Measuring tropical cyclones

In order to categorise tropical cyclones around the world, the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale is used defining events by their wind speed and impacts.

Although developed in the USA, tropical cyclones around the world are measured by the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale which originated from 1971 with Herbert Saffir, a civil engineer and Bob Simpson of the US National Hurricane Center. The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale consists of a five

What are hurricanes?

Hurricane is another name for a tropical cyclone that forms specifically in the Atlantic or eastern Pacific Oceans. They refer to a revolving storm formed over tropical or sub-tropical oceans.

, but all result from the same processes. When wind speeds reach 74 mph, the tropical cyclone is referred to as a hurricane, typhoon or simply a cyclone depending upon where it is on the globe. By this stage they can be 300 to 500 miles across and up to five to six miles high. If the tropical

North Atlantic tropical storm seasonal forecast 2017

-term average is 12. The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 74 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 8, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 6 to 10. The 1981-2010 long-term average is 6. An ACE index of 145 is predicted

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