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, i.e. v2018 and v2022 or the “original” and “new”. We have also included three scientific improvements to the methodology that improve the utility of the data. These are: • The statistical treatment of precipitation to avoid physically implausible values and improve the projections of dry- and wet

Storm Éowyn. Met Office Scientist Emily Carlisle said: “This winter has seen a typical mix of UK winter weather conditions, with a mix of wet and windy, but also cold and calm conditions. This has resulted in a season where no significant climate records have been broken, but the statistics do mask

of work which showed a role for Tropical Atlantic forcing in the very wet winters of 2013-14 and 2015-16. Jeff has a personal interest in North Atlantic Ocean variability. Furthering understanding of the model mechanisms that lead to such variability on a range of timescales will help improve

After a hot and dry June, July followed up with a wet and slightly cool month for many as low pressure brought frequent periods of winds and rain. Northern Ireland saw more than double its average rainfall for the month, with 185.4mm (207% of its long-term average) the provisional figure

levels throughout the year.   Pollen and hay fever  Respiratory allergies are more common than ever, and recent studies in Europe have found that some pollen types are increasing in severity, season duration and seeing an earlier onset as a result of climate change.    Pollen is made up of tiny

is the winter weather shaping up? Author: Press Office 19 December 2023 As we head towards Christmas there is, as always, a great deal of media and public speculation about what weather we might have in store for the festive season as well as the rest of winter. Starting with Christmas and the all

Catherine’s Point (Isle of Wight) recorded 953.6hPa, England’s lowest November pressure on record. Ciarán also brought further significant and unwelcome heavy rainfall on top of persistent wet weather through much of October. Impacts The worst of the impacts from storm Ciarán occurred across

a big impact on UK weather, particularly by determining the position of the North Atlantic Storm track in winter. For example, read about the influence of the jet stream on the unusually wet October 2019 (https://blog.metoffice.gov. uk/2019/11/04/the-jet-stream-casts-its-shadow-over-the-uk

). A target could be to have information available ahead of the 2019 rainy season. 2) Risk of extreme years within the 2-5 year period. A small amount of additional diagnostic work could provide supporting diagnostic information on the risk of very dry / very wet years within a 2-5 year period, based

chance of milder, wetter winters and hotter, drier summers along with an increase in the frequency and intensity of extremes. By the end of the 21st century, all areas of the UK are projected to be warmer, more so in summer than in winter. The figure shows regional projections for lowest, central