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• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

• PowerPoint Presentation

  . There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

• PowerPoint Presentation

  that both oceanic and atmospheric indicators reveal borderline La Niña conditions still remain across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres

• PowerPoint Presentation

  conditions across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) have declared that La Niña is present. According to the latest forecasts, from the WMO Global Producing Centres for Seasonal Prediction, La Niña is the most likely outcome over the next few months

• PowerPoint Presentation

  % likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

• PowerPoint Presentation

  to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

• PowerPoint Presentation

  the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau

• Met Office daily weather: High pressure building through the week

  Scotland, Northern Ireland, and northern England. It will be breezy in north and west Scotland, with a few showers persisting. Outlook for Wednesday Wednesday will begin with the possibility of a few fog patches in the south, ahead of a band of mostly light rain and drizzle that will continue

• Met Office daily weather: Spells of unsettled weather across the UK

  and northern areas for much of the day. The southeast will remain rather cloudy, with the odd showery outbreak of light rain and some areas of low cloud, particularly on south-facing coasts and hills. A moderate breeze will persist throughout. It will remain very mild, though temperatures will begin to fall

• Met Office daily weather: A mix of cloud and sunshine

  The weather on Tuesday and Wednesday is set to bring a mix of sunshine, cloud, and the occasional light shower.

  While daytime temperatures will feel pleasant in many areas, chilly nights and a brisk breeze in the southeast will keep things feeling fresh. Tuesday will bring generally dry conditions with sunny intervals across much of the country. However, cloudier skies and isolated light showers are expected