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bursts and a low risk of thunder. Conditions improve through the afternoon as the main area of rain clears southward, allowing for sunny spells to emerge. Further north, the day begins with plenty of sunshine and light winds following a chilly start. However, cloud and patchy light rain are expected
and prolonged, especially over south-facing high ground in the northwest. To the east of this rain, conditions will remain dry with light winds, hazy or milky sunshine, and small amounts of lower cloud. Any early coastal or upslope low cloud is expected to quickly retreat and break up. Winds on Friday
the south coast. Scotland and Northern Ireland had a fine evening although low cloud and drizzle continued to plague the east coast from time to time. Temperatures were about average generally in a light east or north-easterly breeze across most areas. However, winds across the far northwest of Scotland
friends and family what you use the wind for. Some ideas could be drying our clothes, drying our hair, or you might like to go kitesurfing! So what is wind? Well, wind is air moving from one place to another. It can be a light breeze or a strong gale. We can’t see it, but we can feel and see how
Traffic Operations Centre (NTOC) near Birmingham, where Met Office embedded forecasters now provide specialist weather intelligence that directly influences how the country's motorways and major A-roads are managed. Why weather matters on the road National Highways manages 4,500 miles
. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next
% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More
the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña event while the likelihood of ENSO remaining neutral is around 40 %. In contrast, output from the Australian Bureau
. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc
to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early
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