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flooding. For much of southern England and South Wales it was a miserable day with overcast skies and heavy and persistent rain. Winds were light across Scotland and Northern Ireland and from the west across the far north but generally variable elsewhere. Winds across southern England and Wales were

and Meteorology (DHM) and National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Authority (NDRRMA) in improving capacity and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season in mid-June. This was deemed particularly important in light of the COVID- 19

and prolonged, especially over south-facing high ground in the northwest. To the east of this rain, conditions will remain dry with light winds, hazy or milky sunshine, and small amounts of lower cloud. Any early coastal or upslope low cloud is expected to quickly retreat and break up. Winds on Friday

bursts and a low risk of thunder. Conditions improve through the afternoon as the main area of rain clears southward, allowing for sunny spells to emerge. Further north, the day begins with plenty of sunshine and light winds following a chilly start. However, cloud and patchy light rain are expected

the south coast. Scotland and Northern Ireland had a fine evening although low cloud and drizzle continued to plague the east coast from time to time. Temperatures were about average generally in a light east or north-easterly breeze across most areas. However, winds across the far northwest of Scotland

. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

to the Climate Prediction Centre, La Niña conditions are present with a La Niña Advisory issued. All indices are currently negative and point to La Niña conditions with some atmospheric response evident, with these conditions expected to remain over the coming few months, returning to neutral early

that both oceanic and atmospheric indicators reveal borderline La Niña conditions still remain across the equatorial Pacific. Both NOAA and the Bureau of Metrology in Australia (BoM) state that La Niña is currently present. According to the latest forecasts from the WMO Global Producing Centres