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Attributing extreme weather to climate change
This page explains how we study extreme weather events, to see if climate change was a cause. These attribution studies help shape our understanding of climate change and its impacts.
effect climate change had on an event. This might include many variables, like temperature and rainfall. An attribution case study: The European heatwave in 2019 In July 2019, we saw record breaking temperatures across the UK and Western Europe. In Cambridge, we saw a temperature of 38.7°C
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West Africa climate risk report
Climate risk report for the West Africa region
The climate risk report for the West Africa region is part of a series of regional climate risk reports the Met Office has produced in collaboration with ODI and commissioned by FCDO to provide evidence to the UK Government in support of adaptation and resilience planning and investments
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UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) news
News updates and newsletters for the UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) service
News updates Newsletters Introducing UK Climate Information - July 2026 On Thursday 9 July 2026 we held an introductory webinar for UK Climate Information (UKCI). This is our new national climate service being developed to support climate adaptation decision-making across the UK. Based on robust
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Climate change impacting the natural world
Office Thu 17 Jul 2025 Climate changes are affecting the timings of natural processes with many key biological events in the UK - such as leaf out and flowering - now taking place earlier (and some autumn events also later) in the year when compared with historical records. The latest edition
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UK climate continues to change in 2021
over the whole year it might seem rather unremarkable, however it is telling that whereas we consider 2021 as near-average for temperature in the context of the current climate, had this occurred just over three decades ago it would have been one of the UK’s warmest years on record. “Although 1°C
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Increasing climate challenge to Wimbledon Championship
Climate change will have an increasing impact on our lives, including the sport we love to watch.
already seen aspects such as extreme heat, and the worse is yet to come. “The UK has not recorded temperatures of more than 38.7 °C. However, our climate projections show temperatures of 40.0 °C or more are possible at Wimbledon even during future tournaments, posing considerable challenges
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africa-climate-outlook---july-2024pdf
Climate Outlook Africa: April to January AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook April to January Issued: July 2024 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: April to January Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status
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africa-climate-outlook---january-2026pdf
Climate Outlook Africa: October to July AFRICA: Monthly Climate Outlook October to July Issued: January 2026 Overview Current Status Outlooks Annex 1 – Supplemental Information Climate Outlook Africa: October to July Overview Africa Current Status and Outlook – Temperature Africa Current Status
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The influence of climate change on severe weather
of heatwaves have increased worldwide. A number of major heatwaves in the UK have occurred in the past 5 years (2018, 2019, 2021 and 2022), each seeing new temperature records set. Notably the England record has been set three times over. Numerous climate attribution studies have shown that human
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Research into the causes of changes in climate systems
Causes of changes to different aspects of the climate system are attributed to human and/or natural influences.
Observations contain information about how climate has varied. Climate models provide the facility to investigate the impact of different influences on climate, including both anthropogenic and natural factors, and to determine the level of variability that would still exist in the climate system