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. There are some mixed signals from various modelling centres regarding the evolution of ENSO later this year. However, ENSO is most likely to remain neutral through the next three months. More information on typical impacts can be found here: https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc

conditions taking hold in the August to October period (60% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below

% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases with most modelling centres now favouring the chance of a short-lived La Niña event. Some cooling of sea surface temperatures is now being observed in the central Pacific. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Rainfall Should La Niña

. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next

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the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Introduction Have you ever wondered about the weather around the United Kingdom and perhaps the world? Would you like to know where

pic.twitter.com/OAsTzblgXB — Met Office (@metoffice) May 1, 2025 Outlook for Saturday Saturday's weather looks largely dry for most, with sunny or clear spells developing. Some low cloud, mist, or fog may linger across southeastern areas early in the day, but this should lift. A few light showers or patches

. The same southerly winds that have brought us the current warmth have also drawn dust from the Sahara to our latitudes and the dust scatters the blue light from the sun letting more red light through much as at sunrise or sunset. You can find out the current forecast in your area using our forecast

of light rain may affect the south at times. As the day progresses, cloud will thicken and outbreaks of rain, heavy at times, will spread in from the southwest. There is a chance of embedded thunderstorms within the frontal bands. Winds will be light to moderate to begin with, perhaps strong