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How to use our long-range predictions

eventually happen. Over the course of a whole season, year or decade, however, factors in the global weather system may act to make some outcomes more likely than others. It is because of this we can make a prediction , but we still need to show that a spread of outcomes is possible. To do this, we

uk_monthly_climate_summary_winter_2018.pdf

of the time, allowing only brief settled spells. Temperatures fluctuated either side of average, with some mild spells (especially in southern areas) but also spells with widespread frosts, with the most widespread cold weather coming right at the end of the season. Rainfall has not been far from

wiser0085_climate_information_kakamega__siaya_counties.pdf

month on average) and the west and central mountainous regions are wetter (up to 250mm per month depending on the season) (figure 2). Most of the country experiences the majority of its rainfall in two main seasons with the long rains from March-May and the short rains in October- 4 November (figure 3

Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Winter24.docx

- January, bringing dry, sunny conditions and a marked drop in temperature. However, January ended the same way it began, with the arrival of the ninth and tenth named storms of the season, Isha and Jocelyn. February was mild and wet, but without the succession of low-pressure systems that dominated

Microsoft Word - NAfrica_prelim2022

Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Preliminary forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: PRELIMINARY FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office

Microsoft Word - NAfrica_update2022

Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Updated forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: UPDATED FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office Hadley Centre

Microsoft Word - Seasonal Assessment - Autumn23.docx

neither quite as warm nor quite as wet as the previous autumn 2022. The three months of the autumn saw dramatic contrasts in the weather. Settled weather in early September brought many warm, dry, sunny days with a significant late-season heatwave. 30°C was reached on seven consecutive days (a September

uk_monthly_climate_summary_autumn_2020_v2.pdf

-month, but eastern areas were drier. Total rainfall amounts for the season have been unexceptional, mostly within 25% of average. Sunshine has also shown a contrast, being rather more than normal in September, but well below average for most areas during October, then broadly closer to normal

February & Winter weather stats: A regional breakdown

weather stats: A regional breakdown Author: Met Office 2 March 2026 February 2026 and the broader winter season have been characterised by remarkable regional contrasts across the UK. While national statistics paint a picture of a notably warm, wet and dull season, the underlying regional data tells a far

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Winter weather resources for journalists

Winter in the UK is typically the coldest season with more frequent unsettled weather. It’s also the subject of much interest from the public and journalists. Use this page as a base for producing informed winter weather coverage. UK winter weather 2023/24 useful links Journalists can access

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