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in developed countries than for countries in the global south. Confidence in climate attribution analysis relies on high quality observational records, climate models’ abilities to simulate a particular type of event, and scientific understanding of how natural variability and climate change may influence

with the previous generation, although they simulate global patterns of climate and climate change with greater fidelity. Despite the recent pause in the global mean surface temperature rise, the upper ranges of TCR and ECS derived from extended observational records, and specifically including

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Copyright 2020 Executive summary Background: UKCP Global (60 km) consisted of 28 realisations of climate variables for 1900-2100 as simulated by 28 coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models. The 28 realisations consisted of 15 variants of the HadGEM3-GC3.05 global climate model (GCM) developed at the Met

Data description for regional climate anomalies

Format Text Operational Status Live Cost Type Free Terms and conditions of use of this product and license details are defined within the Legal . Regional Climate Anomalies

New tool shows what climate change might look like in your area

climate projections really puts future extremes into context. We’ve seen a raft of record-breaking weather over the past few years, and when you put that side by side with the projections it really brings to life what the weather could look like if we don’t significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions

Met Office State of the UK Climate report shows 2016 the 13th warmest year.

, said: “Although 2016 may not be regarded as remarkable for temperature, it does feature within a notable decade for temperature records. The trend towards warmer temperatures is clear, but of course natural variation in our climate will always mean that increases are not always even year on year

Global Climate Observing System The Global Climate Observing System (GCOS) is intended to be a long-term, user-driven operational system capable of providing the comprehensive observations required for monitoring the climate syst

GCOS is vital for: detecting and attributing climate change; assessing the impacts of climate variability and change; supporting research toward improved understanding, modelling and prediction of the climate system. It addresses the total climate system including physical, chemical and biological

Arctic sea ice is a sensitive indicator of climate change and changes to the sea ice cover can have potential implications for the Arctic region and beyond.

and/or observational records, and so cannot take into account changes in feedbacks and processes in the climate system as the ice cover declines. Therefore climate models remain our most robust tool for investigating future change. References Vaughan, D.G., et. al 2013: Observations: Cryosphere

and Africa leading to the season’s highest temperature of 18.4 °C at Santon Downham (Suffolk) on 24 February. Dr Mark McCarthy is the head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre. He said: “February 2021 has seen a wide temperature range resulting from the two predominant weather patterns