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Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Preliminary forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: PRELIMINARY FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office

of the timing, magnitude, and variability of wet-season rainfall and its extremes to access the impact on the water resources. Here, our focus is to look for models that demonstrate reasonable skills in simulating rainfall patterns over the study region as well as the wider Indian subcontinent. We assessed

as the major driver of the timing, magnitude, and variability of wet-season rainfall and its extremes to access the impact on the water resources. Here, our focus is to look for models that demonstrate reasonable skills in simulating rainfall patterns over the study region as well as the wider Indian

, wetter winters and hotter drier summers, which will influence the release of pollen into the atmosphere. Yolanda added: “We’re already seeing an impact on the pollen season as a result of climate change. Some species are having longer seasons, some are starting earlier and some are more severe. We’re

-month, but eastern areas were drier. Total rainfall amounts for the season have been unexceptional, mostly within 25% of average. Sunshine has also shown a contrast, being rather more than normal in September, but well below average for most areas during October, then broadly closer to normal

month on average) and the west and central mountainous regions are wetter (up to 250mm per month depending on the season) (figure 2). Most of the country experiences the majority of its rainfall in two main seasons with the long rains from March-May and the short rains in October- 4 November (figure 3

Monday and Tuesday are expected to be the best days of the week, before things turn wetter and windier from midweek. Today (Monday), showers will develop across western areas, while eastern parts remain largely dry with sunny spells. It will feel cooler than the weekend, with breezy conditions

) and Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (SROCC) as one of the most important risks facing coastal nations and communities. The lowlying islands and densely populated coastal areas of South Asia are vulnerable to the impacts of sea level rise, such as coastal erosion

and brings heavy rainfall to the region. Around 80% of the annual rainfall in India falls during the monsoon season and many industries such as agriculture rely on this water. Heavy summer monsoons can also cause flooding making it an important weather event to understand. Around the world, severe

Seasonal Assessment – Spring 2021 The following represents a provisional assessment of the weather experienced across the UK during Spring 2021 (March, April and May) and how it compares with the 1981 to 2010 average. This spring was a season of contrasts. Overall it was colder than average