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in developed countries than for countries in the global south. Confidence in climate attribution analysis relies on high quality observational records, climate models’ abilities to simulate a particular type of event, and scientific understanding of how natural variability and climate change may influence
Verification (capabilities and outputs) Dynamics research 42 Post processing (Gridded, Site specific, climatological record) Impact modelling Observation based research Observations systems research Weather Science IT Informatics Atmospheric dispersion Science partnerships Ocean forecasting Climate
attribution study using © Crown copyright 2024, Met Office Page 5 of 34 HadGEM3-A (Ciavarella et al., 2018) to assess the changing chance of observing the record high UK May and Spring (March-April-May) temperatures recorded in 2024. To facilitate a rapid study, the attribution study uses a single climate
that provides weather and climate information to enable the general public and specialist users (i.e. academia) to research and understand the science and history of meteorology and ensures compliance with the Public Records Act 1958. The Met Office should ensure that the weather story is the same
of different locations around the UK and globally. We hold original manuscripts dating back to 1860 and have digitised climate records from around 1960 for a wide variety of weather variables to meet your individual business needs. These include the following: • Precipitation • Air temperature
Office 2014 26 Historical Weather Data Weather Observations The Met Office holds an extensive archive of weather observations from thousands of different locations around the UK and globally. We hold original manuscripts dating back to 1860 and have digitised climate records from around 1960
Seasonal Climate Outlooks September 2025 Global Seasonal Climate Outlook – June 2025 - March 2026 Africa Seasonal Climate Outlook – June 2025 - March 2026 Asia Seasonal Climate Outlook – June 2025 - March 2026 August 2025 Global Seasonal Climate Outlook – May 2025 - February 2026 Africa Seasonal
The UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) provides a comprehensive set of climate model projections for the UK, showing how the climate is likely to change in the future.
Our UK Climate Projections (UKCP18) webpages were revised in August 2025. This includes an updated UKCP18 guidance and reports page, as well as various changes to other pages. You can find links to other UKCP18 pages at the bottom of this landing page. Do contact us if you can't find what you need
Copyright 2020 Executive summary Background: UKCP Global (60 km) consisted of 28 realisations of climate variables for 1900-2100 as simulated by 28 coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models. The 28 realisations consisted of 15 variants of the HadGEM3-GC3.05 global climate model (GCM) developed at the Met
Our climate monitoring and attribution scientists
Nick Rayner Nick leads the Climate Monitoring and Attribution team. She is an expert in the development of observed climate data sets. Dr Peter Stott Peter is a Science Fellow in the attribution of climate change to anthropogenic and natural causes. Dr Chris Atkinson Chris works on the development
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