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The future of climate modelling

Climate modelling at the Met Office

As faster supercomputers with more processing power are developed, harnessing this power and speed for the benefit of improving climate projections is the dream of climate scientists. The reality is there will never be enough speed or capability to infinitely improve climate models in all aspects

Climate impacts scientists

Our climate impacts scientists

Dr Richard Betts Richard leads the climate impacts area, specialising in ecosystem-hydrology-climate interactions but also overseeing work on urban, health, industry and finance. Penny Boorman Penny is a climate scientist working on a framework to study uncertainties in dangerous climate impacts

Seasonal and climate models

Configurations of the Unified Model for seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions run at the Met Office.

These are usually lower resolution than the models used for day to day weather forecasting, and include ocean and sea-ice components coupled to the atmosphere model in order to represent the full coupled climate system. Additional processes associated with atmospheric chemistry and the ecosystem

Seasonal Climate Outlooks

What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more

metoffice_climatechange_deeperdiscovery_interpreting-climate-models.pdf

Deeper discovery Interpreting climate models 1 2 3 If your group is new to climate change, introduce the concept. Explain that climate change is the long-term shift in average weather patterns across the world. Since the mid-1800s, humans have contributed to the release of carbon dioxide and other

Climate Risk Reports

Climate Risk Reports

Human activities have unequivocally caused global warming, and this is affecting weather and climate extremes in every region of the world, disproportionately affecting the most vulnerable (IPCC AR6 SYR A1, A2). Action to adapt and prevent climate change cannot wait. Improved understanding

Climate, cryosphere and oceans

Improving our understanding of the role of the oceans and the cryosphere (ice) in the climate system.

Key aims Improving ocean and ice modelling capability. Providing advice to government regarding climate mitigation. Understanding how the oceans, sea-ice and land-ice could be affected by climate change and how these changes could feed back onto the climate system.  

CSSP-food security.indd

Office and the Met Office logo are registered trademarks. © Crown copyright 2021, Met Office 01604 FOOD SECURITY PACK – Future Climate - Northeast Farming Region Current drought risk Drought is the dominant climate risk in the NFR. Climate models show that the observational record (blue line

public-weather-service-customer-supplier-agreement-2025-30-website.pdf

Verification (capabilities and outputs) Dynamics research 42 Post processing (Gridded, Site specific, climatological record) Impact modelling Observation based research Observations systems research Weather Science IT Informatics Atmospheric dispersion Science partnerships Ocean forecasting Climate

AI4 Climate: Harnessing artificial intelligence to transform climate science

AI4 Climate explores and applies cutting-edge Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) techniques to advance climate science and deliver improved climate information more efficiently.

AI4 Climate is funded by the UK Government’s Department for Science, Innovation and Technology (DSIT) through the International Science Partnerships Fund (ISPF) and sits within the Met Office’s National Capability AI (NCAI) Programme.  The NCAI Programme demonstrates our commitment to embedding AI

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