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in detail beyond about a week ahead, it is possible indicate whether conditions over a season are likely to be wetter, drier, warmer or cooler compared to a long-term average (e.g. warmer than normal). The graphic below shows you can formulate statements of above and below normal for a hypothetical month

Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Updated forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: UPDATED FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office Hadley Centre

Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Preliminary forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: PRELIMINARY FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office

-month, but eastern areas were drier. Total rainfall amounts for the season have been unexceptional, mostly within 25% of average. Sunshine has also shown a contrast, being rather more than normal in September, but well below average for most areas during October, then broadly closer to normal

, wetter winters and hotter drier summers, which will influence the release of pollen into the atmosphere. Yolanda added: “We’re already seeing an impact on the pollen season as a result of climate change. Some species are having longer seasons, some are starting earlier and some are more severe. We’re

: Cold in the north and Hot in the south. (2) Note: Mixed in the west, Normal in the east. (3) Note: Wet in the north, to Very Dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: April to January Current Status 11 Current

assessment report (AR5) as one of the most important risks facing coastal nations and communities. The low-lying islands and densely populated coastal areas of South Asia are vulnerable to the impacts of sea-level rise, such as coastal erosion and increased inundation from tropical cyclone storm surges

decrease is about 15%. However, some basins in south and east Asia are projected to see increased flow in all simulations. Flows in the Ganges increase by up to 90% at 1.5°C and by up to 130% at 2°C. Figure 2. Range of projected changes in flow in major river basins at 2°C and 1.5°C global warming

7.4 Information on early/late season Sahel rains 7.5 Rainfall versus Drought Predictability 8. Summary: Gaps and Potential Opportunities Supported by: Fund Manager: 1. Introduction: Aims and Scope This report is a literature review on the topic of seasonal-decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall

month on average) and the west and central mountainous regions are wetter (up to 250mm per month depending on the season) (figure 2). Most of the country experiences the majority of its rainfall in two main seasons with the long rains from March-May and the short rains in October- 4 November (figure 3