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7.4 Information on early/late season Sahel rains 7.5 Rainfall versus Drought Predictability 8. Summary: Gaps and Potential Opportunities Supported by: Fund Manager: 1. Introduction: Aims and Scope This report is a literature review on the topic of seasonal-decadal prediction of Sahel rainfall

systems and their impacts Several named storms affected the UK through the season, each with differing levels of severity and impact. Early in the winter, a storm brought significant flooding to parts of South Wales, particularly Monmouth, where saturated ground from already wet conditions worsened

, Normal in the east 4. Note: Normal in some central parts 5. Note: Normal* but Very Wet in the far west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status

to detect any trend one way or the other in terms of number and intensity of low-pressure systems that cross the UK. While our climate overall is getting wetter, there are no compelling trends in increasing storminess in recent decades. Recent stormy seasons – such as that of 2013-2014, before

/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Wet in far west (2) Note: Wet in the east (3) Note: Dry in the south (4) Note: Normal in central parts (5) Note: Hot in the far west (6) Note: Normal in central parts, hot in the far north and south (7) Note

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: (1) Note: Normal in central regions (2) Note: Normal in the west (3) Note: Wet in far west (4) Note: Wet in the east (5) Note: Dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate

for one month or season at a future time period. They are available for the probabilistic projections only. In the examples provided (Figure 1), future changes in two variables – temperature and precipitation – are compared on the plot (temperature as an absolute change in degrees Celsius

on the pollen forecast, which is now available and provides a look at the pollen amounts and types in the air for the next five days. This February was the warmest on record for England and Wales and winter too has followed this wet and warm pattern. This has an influence on the pollen season ahead

across the Lesser Antilles. (3) Note: Very wet in northwest, else normal * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: October to July Current Status 12 Current Status – British Overseas Territories Current Status: Temperature Current

. The Outlook uses 3 categories, linked to previous observed UK conditions, for possible UK temperature, precipitation and wind speed in the coming season: COLD, NEAR AVERAGE and MILD for temperature WET, NEAR AVERAGE and DRY for precipitation. CALM, NEAR AVERAGE and WINDY for wind speed. The NEAR AVERAGE