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to trigger public health warnings. Here we a seeing a 16-fold increase! 14 Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local (2.2km) ensemble suggests: Summer Summers will drier by 16- 46% and winters will be wetter by 16-42%. Winter Projected

- January, bringing dry, sunny conditions and a marked drop in temperature. However, January ended the same way it began, with the arrival of the ninth and tenth named storms of the season, Isha and Jocelyn. February was mild and wet, but without the succession of low-pressure systems that dominated

of the wet season. Present-day simulations of the RCM ensemble are more similar to each other than those of the driving GCM ensemble which indicates that their climatologies are influenced significantly by the RCM formulation and less so by their driving GCMs. Consistent with this, the spread and magnitudes

neither quite as warm nor quite as wet as the previous autumn 2022. The three months of the autumn saw dramatic contrasts in the weather. Settled weather in early September brought many warm, dry, sunny days with a significant late-season heatwave. 30°C was reached on seven consecutive days (a September

: Cold in the north and Hot in the south. (2) Note: Mixed in the west, Normal in the east. (3) Note: Wet in the north, to Very Dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: April to January Current Status 11 Current

in detail beyond about a week ahead, it is possible indicate whether conditions over a season are likely to be wetter, drier, warmer or cooler compared to a long-term average (e.g. warmer than normal). The graphic below shows you can formulate statements of above and below normal for a hypothetical month

Storm Ali - which is the first storm to be named by the Met Office and Met Éireann this season - will bring very strong winds to Northern Ireland, Scotland, northern England and parts of north Wales tomorrow (Wednesday 19 September 2018). An Amber National Severe Weather Warning is in place

as the major driver of the timing, magnitude, and variability of wet-season rainfall and its extremes to access the impact on the water resources. Here, our focus is to look for models that demonstrate reasonable skills in simulating rainfall patterns over the study region as well as the wider Indian

of the timing, magnitude, and variability of wet-season rainfall and its extremes to access the impact on the water resources. Here, our focus is to look for models that demonstrate reasonable skills in simulating rainfall patterns over the study region as well as the wider Indian subcontinent. We assessed

Forecast of July- August-September 2022 season rainfall in the Sahel and other regions of tropical North Africa: Preliminary forecast 1 FORECAST OF JULY-AUGUST-SEPTEMBER 2022 SEASON RAINFALL IN THE SAHEL AND OTHER REGIONS OF TROPICAL NORTH AFRICA: PRELIMINARY FORECAST Andrew Colman Met Office