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are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral remains most likely early in this period. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña

hold in the August to October period (51% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near

, particularly in more sheltered spots. As the day progresses, cloud will increase from the west-southwest, bringing rain, some of it heavy, to southern regions by dusk. Northern areas will remain breezy, while winds elsewhere are generally light. Temperatures on Wednesday are expected to be close

on all coloured backgrounds. Size: width 120px, height 109px. Master logo for a light background Copy the following into the HTML on your web page where you would like the link to appear: <a href="http://www.metoffice.gov.uk" target="_blank" title="opens in a new window"></a> Please use Master mono logo

, particularly in more sheltered spots. As the day progresses, cloud will increase from the west-southwest, bringing rain, some of it heavy, to southern regions by dusk. Northern areas will remain breezy, while winds elsewhere are generally light. Temperatures on Wednesday are expected to be close

for the weekend Finally on Saturday, some much awaited high pressure moves in from the Atlantic. It’s a cold start though, with the possibility of some frost, especially in the north. Light winds and sunshine will make the day feel rather pleasant for many, even if temperatures don’t read very high, mid

record types 2 1. RETURNS, REGISTERS, LOGS AND SUMMARIES — COLLATED DATA 2 1.1 Daily registers 2 1.2 Climatological returns 4 1.3 Lustrum forms 5 1.4 Ship, light vessel and light house logs 6 1.5 Rainfall cards 7 1.6 Ten year rainfall books 8 1.7 Daily weather summaries 9 1.8 Monthly weather

for driving a LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) van (slide 6) around the virtual map to collect volcanic ash weather observations. It then needs to be driven back, with the weather data, to the Met Office supercomputer. Try to avoid the lava! 1. Tell the students to work through the booklet

affected the east and south-east of England on the 15th with showers in the north-east, and there was a cold north-easterly wind. Light rain affected many areas on the 16th and 17th, with a frost in the south under clearer skies overnight 16th/17th. Most places were dry, sunny and cold on the 18th

the period, when skies cleared overnight frost developed quite widely but was not severe. 7th to 15th The weather turned milder, while remaining unsettled. It was generally mostly dry but cloudy and windy on the 7th, with some light rain mainly in the north-west. A belt of rain crossed the country