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the south coast. Scotland and Northern Ireland had a fine evening although low cloud and drizzle continued to plague the east coast from time to time. Temperatures were about average generally in a light east or north-easterly breeze across most areas. However, winds across the far northwest of Scotland

and prolonged, especially over south-facing high ground in the northwest. To the east of this rain, conditions will remain dry with light winds, hazy or milky sunshine, and small amounts of lower cloud. Any early coastal or upslope low cloud is expected to quickly retreat and break up. Winds on Friday

bursts and a low risk of thunder. Conditions improve through the afternoon as the main area of rain clears southward, allowing for sunny spells to emerge. Further north, the day begins with plenty of sunshine and light winds following a chilly start. However, cloud and patchy light rain are expected

, please contact the Customer Centre on: Tel: 0370 900 0100 Fax: 0370 900 5050 Email: [email protected] If you are outside the UK: Tel: +44 330 135 0000 Fax: +44 330 135 0050 Introduction Sir Francis Galton is credited with producing the first modern weather map in 1875 showing areas

. He explained that a ‘café’ is an English word borrowed from French which means a small restaurant selling light meals. He however, explained that in a climate café people don’t come to have light meals but have a light though important discussion on climate. He emphasized that what happens

but with showers over the far south-west and near eastern coasts. The 5th began frosty in many central and southern counties, brightest in the south-east, but cloudier elsewhere, with patchy light rain mainly in the north-west. The 6th was windy, starting with patchy rain in many places, but a band

brighter. Patchy rain and drizzle in eastern parts on the 30th became more showery later; in western areas cloud broke up to allow warm sunshine, though enough cloud built up in the south-west during the afternoon for isolated light showers to develop. Wales diary of highlights The first part

are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral remains most likely early in this period. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña

hold in the August to October period (51% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near

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