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, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current

international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña

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spots out of which the clouds evolve (top left). The clouds in their early stages of formation are depicted in the photograph at top right. When completely formed, the clouds have clear­cut horizontal bases and rounded tops (centre photographs). In this stage they are called ‘fair weather’ cumulus

was mostly on the cool side. Some outbreaks of light rain spread slowly eastwards across the country on the 1st, with brighter weather to either side, and the east was relatively warm before the rain belt arrived. Most parts had sunshine and showers on the 2nd, the showers locally heavy and thundery

East Anglia and the south-east on the 10th cleared eastwards, then it was generally sunny with a few isolated light showers. It clouded over from the west on the 11th with rain spreading into western parts, and the frontal system was slow to clear eastern areas on the 12th and 13th, with rain

and the chance of a few light showers. Temperatures will vary significantly across the country. The west and southwest are expected to be the warmest, with highs of 18–20°C and possibly reaching 21°C in central and southern areas such as Oxford. In contrast, the east will feel much cooler

and north-east may see thicker cloud and some patchy light rain or drizzle, with the possibility of similar conditions spreading to eastern and south-eastern areas later in the day. Winds will be light to moderate, though locally fresh along coasts in the far north and far south. Temperatures will be mild

and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre

temperature anomalies, trade wind strength, atmospheric pressure pattern and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift into neutral conditions is likely, with the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating