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Seasonal and climate models

Configurations of the Unified Model for seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions run at the Met Office.

These are usually lower resolution than the models used for day to day weather forecasting, and include ocean and sea-ice components coupled to the atmosphere model in order to represent the full coupled climate system. Additional processes associated with atmospheric chemistry and the ecosystem

The Climate Security team

Providing advice on the impact of climate variability and change for security.

Climate science has made huge progress in understanding the dynamics of climate variability and change over the last few decades, with climate models being a valuable tool for understanding the future climate. However, there remains a gap between the type of information climate projections provide

Climate impacts scientists

Our climate impacts scientists

Dr Richard Betts Richard leads the climate impacts area, specialising in ecosystem-hydrology-climate interactions but also overseeing work on urban, health, industry and finance. Penny Boorman Penny is a climate scientist working on a framework to study uncertainties in dangerous climate impacts

Climate change and health

Skip to main content Menu Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Met Office Search site Search x Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather

The future of climate modelling

Climate modelling at the Met Office

As faster supercomputers with more processing power are developed, harnessing this power and speed for the benefit of improving climate projections is the dream of climate scientists. The reality is there will never be enough speed or capability to infinitely improve climate models in all aspects

Linking hunger and climate

The Hunger and Climate Vulnerability Index aims to paint a regional picture of how much climate change may affect life across the planet

Experts from the World Food Programme (WFP) have worked closely with our climate scientists to devise a measurement of vulnerability to climate change. Taking its definition from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 'vulnerability' describes the relative degrees of climate stress

Climate Risk Reports

Climate Risk Reports

Human activities have unequivocally caused global warming, and this is affecting weather and climate extremes in every region of the world, disproportionately affecting the most vulnerable (IPCC AR6 SYR A1, A2). Action to adapt and prevent climate change cannot wait. Improved understanding

Climate, cryosphere and oceans

Improving our understanding of the role of the oceans and the cryosphere (ice) in the climate system.

Key aims Improving ocean and ice modelling capability. Providing advice to government regarding climate mitigation. Understanding how the oceans, sea-ice and land-ice could be affected by climate change and how these changes could feed back onto the climate system.  

metoffice_climatechange_deeperdiscovery_interpreting-climate-models.pdf

Deeper discovery Interpreting climate models 1 2 3 If your group is new to climate change, introduce the concept. Explain that climate change is the long-term shift in average weather patterns across the world. Since the mid-1800s, humans have contributed to the release of carbon dioxide and other

Climate sensitivity on the rise?

August 2018 - A new study suggests climate sensitivity may be larger and more uncertain than previously thought.

, because if the past warming trend is different to what we might expect in the future, then climate sensitivity, estimated from the observed historical record, may not apply to the future. A new study, led by Dr Timothy Andrews of the Met Office Hadley Centre, along with an international team

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