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The Climate Security team

Providing advice on the impact of climate variability and change for security.

Climate science has made huge progress in understanding the dynamics of climate variability and change over the last few decades, with climate models being a valuable tool for understanding the future climate. However, there remains a gap between the type of information climate projections provide

Climate, cryosphere and oceans

Improving our understanding of the role of the oceans and the cryosphere (ice) in the climate system.

Key aims Improving ocean and ice modelling capability. Providing advice to government regarding climate mitigation. Understanding how the oceans, sea-ice and land-ice could be affected by climate change and how these changes could feed back onto the climate system.  

Urban climate impacts

Analysing climate change and its impacts in the urban environment.

Urbanisation results in significant modification of local climates, the most apparent expression of this being the urban heat island. The global urban population now exceeds the rural population, and the urban population may exceed six billion by the 2050s. Therefore, society and our urban

Climate Risk Reports

Climate Risk Reports

Human activities have unequivocally caused global warming, and this is affecting weather and climate extremes in every region of the world, disproportionately affecting the most vulnerable (IPCC AR6 SYR A1, A2). Action to adapt and prevent climate change cannot wait. Improved understanding

Climate impacts scientists

Our climate impacts scientists

Dr Richard Betts Richard leads the climate impacts area, specialising in ecosystem-hydrology-climate interactions but also overseeing work on urban, health, industry and finance. Penny Boorman Penny is a climate scientist working on a framework to study uncertainties in dangerous climate impacts

Climate Ambassador scheme

The Climate Ambassador Scheme will link nurseries, schools and colleges across England with free access to local experts who can provide tailored advice and guidance to help them develop their own climate plans.

30,000 education settings across England. A key aim of the extended programme, as part of the Department for Education's Sustainability and Climate Change Strategy, is for all education settings to have a climate action plan and a sustainability lead in place by the end of 2025.  To support

Seasonal and climate models

Configurations of the Unified Model for seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions run at the Met Office.

These are usually lower resolution than the models used for day to day weather forecasting, and include ocean and sea-ice components coupled to the atmosphere model in order to represent the full coupled climate system. Additional processes associated with atmospheric chemistry and the ecosystem

Modelling climate variability

Our research into climate variability and predictability is aimed at improving the skill of the Met Office monthly to decadal forecasts.

Some physical processes that affect the climate system, such as El Niño and the global oceanic circulation, provide potential sources of climate predictability from a month to decades ahead. Our work involves the study of these processes in order to improve their representation in our prediction

AI in climate science

Artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) have demonstrated potential for their application in weather forecasting, the crossovers with climate science suggests that similar progress is possible in climate modelling.

Climate models are numerical representations of the Earth system (including components such as the atmosphere, ocean and land) that are used to explore long-term changes to the underlying statistical distributions that govern day-to-day weather. Developments in climate models have typically come

Understanding climate change

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate change, through understanding and improving the representation of key processes.

This area of research involves the design, building, evaluation and improvement of climate models informed by knowledge of the mechanisms of past, present and future climates. The scientific focus is on gaining understanding and improving the representation of key processes that are critical for climate variability and change on global and regional scales. Related pages Climate change scientists  

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