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Our research into climate variability and predictability is aimed at improving the skill of the Met Office monthly to decadal forecasts.

Some physical processes that affect the climate system, such as El Niño and the global oceanic circulation, provide potential sources of climate predictability from a month to decades ahead. Our work involves the study of these processes in order to improve their representation in our prediction

be higher than the day-time maximum. In either situation this makes a comparison with the daily records invalid. We do not quote highest/lowest maximum/minimum day-time and night-time records separately. The main reason is that manual climate stations only report daily 0900-0900 UTC maximum and minimum

Configurations of the Unified Model for seasonal, decadal and centennial climate predictions run at the Met Office.

These are usually lower resolution than the models used for day to day weather forecasting, and include ocean and sea-ice components coupled to the atmosphere model in order to represent the full coupled climate system. Additional processes associated with atmospheric chemistry and the ecosystem

As part of the UK Climate Resilience (UKCR) programme, the Met Office has compiled an approach for upscaling climate services. This page introduces climate services providers to this resource.

this means for climate services. We have reviewed existing upscaling literature and resources, and adapted themes and concepts from them to produce an upscaling approach for climate services. We have tested this in three case studies with different services and service providers. A toolkit, to aid

Understanding and quantifying the most important feedback processes operating in the climate system.

An important aspect of this work is to use both models and observations to try to establish links between physical processes operating in past, present and future climates. This involves the development and refinement of diagnostics and metrics for assessing model performance, and for isolating

What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more

Our climate change scientists

Dr Tim Andrews Tim is a climate scientist working on forcing, feedbacks and heat uptake in the climate system. Dr Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo Alejandro works on developing and assessing the Met Office Hadley Centre's climate models. Dr Rob Chadwick Rob looks at changes in the global water cycle related

Climate modelling at the Met Office

As faster supercomputers with more processing power are developed, harnessing this power and speed for the benefit of improving climate projections is the dream of climate scientists. The reality is there will never be enough speed or capability to infinitely improve climate models in all aspects

The Hunger and Climate Vulnerability Index aims to paint a regional picture of how much climate change may affect life across the planet

Experts from the World Food Programme (WFP) have worked closely with our climate scientists to devise a measurement of vulnerability to climate change. Taking its definition from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), 'vulnerability' describes the relative degrees of climate stress

Our climate impacts scientists

Dr Richard Betts Richard leads the climate impacts area, specialising in ecosystem-hydrology-climate interactions but also overseeing work on urban, health, industry and finance. Penny Boorman Penny is a climate scientist working on a framework to study uncertainties in dangerous climate impacts