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August 2018 - A new study suggests climate sensitivity may be larger and more uncertain than previously thought.

, because if the past warming trend is different to what we might expect in the future, then climate sensitivity, estimated from the observed historical record, may not apply to the future. A new study, led by Dr Timothy Andrews of the Met Office Hadley Centre, along with an international team

Our research into climate variability and predictability is aimed at improving the skill of the Met Office monthly to decadal forecasts.

Some physical processes that affect the climate system, such as El Niño and the global oceanic circulation, provide potential sources of climate predictability from a month to decades ahead. Our work involves the study of these processes in order to improve their representation in our prediction

Understanding and quantifying the most important feedback processes operating in the climate system.

An important aspect of this work is to use both models and observations to try to establish links between physical processes operating in past, present and future climates. This involves the development and refinement of diagnostics and metrics for assessing model performance, and for isolating

Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate change, through understanding and improving the representation of key processes.

This area of research involves the design, building, evaluation and improvement of climate models informed by knowledge of the mechanisms of past, present and future climates. The scientific focus is on gaining understanding and improving the representation of key processes that are critical for climate variability and change on global and regional scales. Related pages Climate change scientists  

Our climate impacts scientists

Dr Richard Betts Richard leads the climate impacts area, specialising in ecosystem-hydrology-climate interactions but also overseeing work on urban, health, industry and finance. Penny Boorman Penny is a climate scientist working on a framework to study uncertainties in dangerous climate impacts

The Climate Ambassador Scheme will link nurseries, schools and colleges across England with free access to local experts who can provide tailored advice and guidance to help them develop their own climate plans.

30,000 education settings across England. A key aim of the extended programme, as part of the Department for Education's Sustainability and Climate Change Strategy, is for all education settings to have a climate action plan and a sustainability lead in place by the end of 2025.  To support

As part of the UK Climate Resilience (UKCR) programme, the Met Office has compiled an approach for upscaling climate services. This page introduces climate services providers to this resource.

this means for climate services. We have reviewed existing upscaling literature and resources, and adapted themes and concepts from them to produce an upscaling approach for climate services. We have tested this in three case studies with different services and service providers. A toolkit, to aid

Providing advice on the impact of climate variability and change for security.

Climate science has made huge progress in understanding the dynamics of climate variability and change over the last few decades, with climate models being a valuable tool for understanding the future climate. However, there remains a gap between the type of information climate projections provide

Find out about how we can help you manage the risks and realise the opportunities associated with day-to-day weather, extreme events and future climate conditions.

Weather and climate related impacts are identified by global industry leaders as the most significant risks to their businesses (World Economic Forum – 2018 Global Risk Report). Our consultants work with you to understand how these weather and climate impacts affect your business or industry