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August 2018 - A new study suggests climate sensitivity may be larger and more uncertain than previously thought.
, because if the past warming trend is different to what we might expect in the future, then climate sensitivity, estimated from the observed historical record, may not apply to the future. A new study, led by Dr Timothy Andrews of the Met Office Hadley Centre, along with an international team
Description of research and applications of the impacts of climate variability on monthly to seasonal timescales.
Predictions and climate model output often refer to large-scale phenomena (e.g. ENSO, NAO) or give information on large-area averages. The variables for which predictions are made are most often meteorological (e.g. temperature, rainfall). Users' needs are typically related to their economic
A link to view monthly regional climate anomalies
What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more
This page displays airfield climate statistics for 48 UK airports including occurrences of Low Visibility Procedures, temperature, low cloud base, significant weather, visibility and wind.
from 1990 to 2021 has been used to allow comparison to the most recent climatological reference period (Charting the UK;s changing climate - Met Office). Where this full period is not available, the maximum range is used using data from METARs recorded at each airfield. The number of observations
Understanding and quantifying the most important feedback processes operating in the climate system.
An important aspect of this work is to use both models and observations to try to establish links between physical processes operating in past, present and future climates. This involves the development and refinement of diagnostics and metrics for assessing model performance, and for isolating
Quantifying and reducing uncertainty in climate change, through understanding and improving the representation of key processes.
This area of research involves the design, building, evaluation and improvement of climate models informed by knowledge of the mechanisms of past, present and future climates. The scientific focus is on gaining understanding and improving the representation of key processes that are critical for climate variability and change on global and regional scales. Related pages Climate change scientists
Providing advice on the impact of climate variability and change for security.
Climate science has made huge progress in understanding the dynamics of climate variability and change over the last few decades, with climate models being a valuable tool for understanding the future climate. However, there remains a gap between the type of information climate projections provide
Our climate change scientists
Dr Tim Andrews Tim is a climate scientist working on forcing, feedbacks and heat uptake in the climate system. Dr Alejandro Bodas-Salcedo Alejandro works on developing and assessing the Met Office Hadley Centre's climate models. Dr Rob Chadwick Rob looks at changes in the global water cycle related
and climate news Topic Climate change Climate science Corporate news Severe weather Weather news Weather review Year 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017 Latest Northern Ireland records third wettest Autumn on record, and Wales its tenth Meteorological Autumn has been wet and mild
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