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  • Seasonal Climate Outlooks - archive

    Seasonal Climate Outlooks May 2026 Global Seasonal Climate Outlook – February 2026 - November 2026 Africa Seasonal Climate Outlook – February 2026 - November 2026 Asia Seasonal Climate Outlook – February 2026 - November 2026 April 2026 Global Seasonal Climate Outlook – January 2026 - October 2026

  • Climate change in your area

    New tool shows what climate change might look like in your area

    climate projections really puts future extremes into context. We’ve seen a raft of record-breaking weather over the past few years, and when you put that side by side with the projections it really brings to life what the weather could look like if we don’t significantly reduce greenhouse gas emissions

  • Climate monitoring of the land and atmosphere

    Global observations of surface and upper air temperature and humidity, surface pressure and precipitation are used to provide advice on global climate variability and change.

    Temperature, precipitation and humidity and their extremes can have a major impact on our lives. Observational datasets are used to monitor land and atmospheric climate variables, to understand how the climate has changed over time and to examine the occurrence of extremes in temperature and heat

  • Winter and February climate statistics

    and Africa leading to the season’s highest temperature of 18.4 °C at Santon Downham (Suffolk) on 24 February. Dr Mark McCarthy is the head of the Met Office National Climate Information Centre. He said: “February 2021 has seen a wide temperature range resulting from the two predominant weather patterns

  • Sea ice in the climate system

    Arctic sea ice is a sensitive indicator of climate change and changes to the sea ice cover can have potential implications for the Arctic region and beyond.

    Found in both the Arctic and Antarctic, sea ice regulates heat exchange between the ocean and atmosphere, supports polar ecosystems, and serves as a sensitive indicator of climate change. Sea ice forms in high-latitude regions where winter darkness and cold temperatures allow the ocean to freeze

  • climate-risk-report-for-sea---v6-final-updated.pdf

    in developed countries than for countries in the global south. Confidence in climate attribution analysis relies on high quality observational records, climate models’ abilities to simulate a particular type of event, and scientific understanding of how natural variability and climate change may influence

  • climate-risk-report-for-sea---v6-final-april-2026pdf

    as a result of human-induced climate change (Oliver et al., 2018). This marine heatwave persisted for 298 days, the longest on record for this region, with an average intensity of 2°C (Iskandar et al., 2021). Precipitation has generally increased by around 0.2- 0.5mm/day per decade, although this trend

  • The Met Office Hadley Centre Climate Programme: Driving Climate Science for a Resilient Future

    study of the UK’s record-breaking annual temperature in 2022, where human-induced climate change made this event around 160 times more likely.  In December 2023, the Met Office annual global temperature forecast was published. Global average temperature rise is measured as the difference between 1850

  • Climate change, drought and water security

    Skip to main content Weather & climate Research programmes Services About us Careers Menu Search site Search Back Weather & climate Everything you need to know about the forecast, and making the most of the weather. Find a forecast Warnings & advice Warnings & advice UK weather warnings UK Storm

  • Humidity – the second pillar of climate change

    Climate change isn’t just affecting global temperature, it’s also changing the amount of water vapour in the atmosphere with potentially significant impacts, finds a new study looking at global humidity.

    Kate Willett is a Met Office scientist and author of a new study looking at global humidity – the amount of water vapour held in the atmosphere as a gas. She said: “Think of climate change and people immediately think of rising temperatures. This isn’t wrong, but it misses a key fact that climate

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