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for one month or season at a future time period. They are available for the probabilistic projections only. In the examples provided (Figure 1), future changes in two variables – temperature and precipitation – are compared on the plot (temperature as an absolute change in degrees Celsius

After an exceptionally dry season, the Met Office’s latest 10-day trend suggests that change is on the horizon — and it’s bringing a mix of sunshine, showers, and cooler temperatures. As we head into the bank holiday weekend, the forecast remains mixed. The Met Office anticipates a blend of sunny

records, it’s hard to detect any trend one way or the other in terms of number and intensity of low-pressure systems that cross the UK. While our climate overall is getting wetter, there are no compelling trends in increasing storminess in recent decades. Recent stormy seasons – such as that of 2013

of the time, allowing only brief settled spells. Temperatures fluctuated either side of average, with some mild spells (especially in southern areas) but also spells with widespread frosts, with the most widespread cold weather coming right at the end of the season. Rainfall has not been far from

- January, bringing dry, sunny conditions and a marked drop in temperature. However, January ended the same way it began, with the arrival of the ninth and tenth named storms of the season, Isha and Jocelyn. February was mild and wet, but without the succession of low-pressure systems that dominated

neither quite as warm nor quite as wet as the previous autumn 2022. The three months of the autumn saw dramatic contrasts in the weather. Settled weather in early September brought many warm, dry, sunny days with a significant late-season heatwave. 30°C was reached on seven consecutive days (a September

but cold far in the northwest (2) Note: Very wet in the south, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Wet in parts of the north, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: December to September Current Status 11 Current

were well characterized, though HadRM3P exaggerated the orographic enhancement along the coastal mountains, Cascade Range, and Sierra Nevada. HadRM3P produced warm/dry northwest, cool/wet southwest U.S. patterns associated with El Niño. However, there were notable differences, including the locations

to trigger public health warnings. Here we a seeing a 16-fold increase! 14 Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local (2.2km) ensemble suggests: Summer Summers will drier by 16- 46% and winters will be wetter by 16-42%. Winter Projected

, the pollen season in the UK isn’t immune to the effects of a changing climate. Climate models suggest an increasing likelihood of warmer, wetter winters and hotter drier summers, which will influence the release of pollen into the atmosphere. A study conducted by the University of Worcester looked at pollen