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Met Office seasonal and climate models explained
Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some
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Dull and mild February brings wet winter to a close
The Met Office has released its provisional statistics for Winter 2025/26 and February 2026, revealing a season characterised by persistent wet weather and stark regional rainfall contrasts.
winter rainfall records by county from 1837 and in which year they occurred. This winter was wetter than average across the UK, with the nation recording 13% more rainfall than the long-term meteorological average (LTA) for the season. However, the headline figure hides substantial regional
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PowerPoint Presentation
of Sahel, especially Mali and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season will commence later in this period (the season nominally runs from October to December). Here, drier than normal conditions are more likely
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PowerPoint Presentation
conditions thereafter - this is the dry season, so observed rainfall totals were small. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall Outlook: Over the next three months, the West African Monsoon will move south. Many areas of west and central Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Eastern
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A look back at the weather and climate in 2020
, Dennis and Jorge, bringing wet and windy weather in February. The most noteworthy winter month was February, due to a rapid succession of named storms, rainfall totals were well above normal virtually everywhere, with many places getting more than three times their expected average. It was the wettest
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UK and Global extreme events – Drought
. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat
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PowerPoint Presentation
://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Very Wet in the east, normal or dry in the west (2) Note: Very Wet in the north (3) Note: Mainly normal or cool but cold in the north (4) Note
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PowerPoint Presentation
balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones
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PowerPoint Presentation
and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. Uganda was also very wet in July and August with Cameroon wet in July and very dry in August. Ghana was very dry in July. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season takes place for many parts during this period
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Why do we have seasons?
marks the start of autumn. Do all countries have the same seasons? Not all parts of the world experience four seasons. Countries near the equator often have just two - wet and dry - because the Sun’s position doesn’t change much throughout the year. In contrast, countries at higher latitudes, like