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are consistent with ENSO-neutral conditions. ENSO-neutral remains most likely early in this period. However, through autumn the likelihood of La Niña developing increases. By late autumn (October-November-December period), NOAA Climate Prediction Centre gives a 50- 60 % chance of a short-lived La Niña
hold in the August to October period (51% likelihood in NOAA forecast). While forecasts looking this far ahead are inherently uncertain, particularly when issued at this time of year, there is a consistent message emerging from many international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near
of the UK, with sunny spells developing widely. There is a small chance of a few light afternoon showers, mainly affecting eastern parts of Scotland and England. Later in the day, cloud will begin to thicken from the northwest, bringing the likelihood of mainly light rain by the evening. Winds will remain
the morning. Winds will be mostly light, and temperatures will be very mild once again. After a very mild start to the week, temperatures will fall but will largely stay above average by the weekend Feeling fresher for all from Saturday🌡️ pic.twitter.com/pkc4MSR4Bi — Met Office (@metoffice
, it will remain blustery across some north eastern parts through this afternoon, and it’ll feel cooler than yesterday with top temperatures reaching 17-18C. Scotland and Northern Ireland will stay mostly cloudy with some light showers whilst sunshine across England and Wales gives way to cloud
is a little brighter. Variable cloud cover will dominate much of the country, with some sunny spells breaking through. However, as the day progresses, isolated showers may develop—especially in central and eastern areas. While most of these will be light, there is a low risk of heavier downpours in a few
is probable away from the west. Winds will generally be light but will strengthen in the far west during the evening as cloud and rain arrive. November 2025 has been remarkably mild so far with a series of new high daily minimum temperature records across the UK. Get the stats in our blog 👇https://t.co
On Wednesday, low cloud and areas of patchy light rain or drizzle will linger across central and southern England and Wales, gradually clearing southwards as the day progresses. Northern and western Scotland will be windy and cloudy, with outbreaks of rain and drizzle becoming more persistent
chance of a light morning shower in southern areas, but most places will enjoy a fine day. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to warm in the southeast, with highs of 24-26°C expected across central, southern, and eastern England. Isolated spots may reach 27°C. Temperatures
Tuesday will begin with low cloud across many areas, particularly in the east. While this cloud will gradually break up inland through the day, some eastern coastal regions may remain rather cloudy. A band of thicker cloud accompanied by light rain or drizzle will move south-southwest across
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