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The most likely number of named tropical storms (winds of at least 39 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 14, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 9 to 19. The 1991-2020 long-term average is 14. The most likely number of hurricanes
average is 12. The most likely number of hurricanes (winds of at least 74 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 7, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 5 to 9. The 1981-2010 long-term average is 6. The most likely number of major
one January storm (Hurricane Alex in 2016). The most likely number of named tropical storms (winds of at least 39 mph) predicted to occur in the North Atlantic is 16, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 11 to 21. The 1991-2020 long-term average is 14. The most likely number
........................................................................................................ 3 2. The 2011 Hurricane Season.......................................................................................... 3 3. Forecast Verification
Pacific activity was 145% of average. For the tenth year in a row, no major hurricanes made landfall in the United States. This is the longest time that the U.S. has gone without a major hurricane landfall since records began in 1878. The low activity in the Atlantic during 2015 was due in part to strong
2008 North Atlantic hurricane season: verification of the Met Office seasonal forecast January 2009 Verification_report_branded V02 - 1 – © Crown copyright 2008 Contents Executive summary...........................................................................................................2
to see here in the UK and the hurricanes affecting the United States and the Caribbean at present. This system originated well north in the Atlantic Ocean, independent of the current Caribbean hurricanes. It is a fairly typical autumnal low pressure system often seen here in the UK especially later
an unsettled week. “During autumn, forecasters have the added complication of trying to estimate the impacts of ex-hurricanes when they work their way into the North Atlantic. Although the cooler conditions outside of the tropics cause them to decay quickly, they can bring disruption to weather patterns
Advisor Seasonal tropical storm forecast verification Issued November 2010 © Crown copyright 2010 1 Seasonal tropical storm forecast verification Issued November 2010 Executive summary 3 Forecast verification 3 Verification of the Met Office 4 public forecast The 2010 hurricane season 4 Concluding
to the 1980-2010 long-term average of 12. The most likely number of hurricanes predicted to occur in the North Atlantic during the June to November period is 6, with a 70% chance that the number will be in the range 3 to 9. This represents near normal activity relative to the 1980-2010 long-term
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