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Met Office daily weather: Largely dry and settled for most
to develop more widely. There is a small chance of an isolated light shower across the Northern Isles, but this will be the exception rather than the rule. Breezy conditions are likely around North Sea coasts, contributing to a cooler feel in eastern areas. Temperatures will be near average overall
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PowerPoint Presentation
, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current
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PowerPoint Presentation
international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña
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NCIC Monthly Summary
cloudy, with morning fog mainly over southern areas but sunny spells in a few places later, while showers developed in central and south-western areas. Fog in the south on the 4th lasted until afternoon in some spots, while showers persisted across the north, wintry and giving a light covering
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NCIC Monthly Summary
showers skirting East Anglian coasts. Many areas were cloudy on the 18th, with the best of any sunshine in the south, and patchy light rain or showers for the north-west and through the Cheshire Gap, and also in eastern coastal counties. Parts of the south-west started sunny on the 19th, otherwise
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PowerPoint Presentation
and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre
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PowerPoint Presentation
place during the first half of next year. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance
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PowerPoint Presentation
temperature anomalies, trade wind strength, atmospheric pressure pattern and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift into neutral conditions is likely, with the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating
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PowerPoint Presentation
Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March) and into spring 2021 (~65% chance during March-May
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PowerPoint Presentation
of a La Niña event developing. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall According to CPC, the chance of La Niña developing in the period September-November is around 66%, rising to 74% in the early winter (November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much