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international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña

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, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current

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of a La Niña event developing. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall According to CPC, the chance of La Niña developing in the period September-November is around 66%, rising to 74% in the early winter (November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much

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and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre

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Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March) and into spring 2021 (~65% chance during March-May

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place during the first half of next year. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance

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temperature anomalies, trade wind strength, atmospheric pressure pattern and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift into neutral conditions is likely, with the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating

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