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Microsoft PowerPoint - Tennant_SeamlessModelling_Bristol_Jun2025
-member tropical cyclone tracks (left), probability plume of the same (centre) and box-whisker plots of central wind-speed and pressure (right). The solid cyan line shows the observations and previous forecasts to help gauge forecast performance of this system so far, top panel shows number of members
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Future extreme rainfall more extreme than first thought
The impacts of extreme rainfall could be more frequent and severe than had previously been thought at the last UN climate conference, COP25, two years ago in Madrid. A new generation of climate models and the latest IPCC assessment (AR6) have provided a new light to look at the recent catastrophic
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Met Office weekend sports fixtures forecast
. Winds will be light and variable at first, but are expected to increase later in the day. The maximum temperature will reach a pleasant 22°C, but spectators should be ready for a sudden downpour or two. Burnley vs Nottingham Forest (3pm) Conditions in the northwest mirror those in Liverpool
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NCIC Monthly Summary
of the south on the 14th again persisted in places until late morning, then the south was sunny but other areas remained cloudy, with rain in the far north by dusk. The 15th saw showers on the east coast, sunshine across the north, and cloud for central and southern parts with patchy light rain
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Satellite image of the month - 2024
light green colour. This colour indicates that the plume is rich in sulphur dioxide. Credits: Image: © Crown copyright, Met Office; Data: NOAA/NASA October 2024 - Severe flooding in Spain 30 October 2024 This image from the US Landsat-8 satellite captures the severe flooding that devastated eastern
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PowerPoint Presentation
, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current
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PowerPoint Presentation
international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña
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Met Office daily weather: Largely dry and settled for most
to develop more widely. There is a small chance of an isolated light shower across the Northern Isles, but this will be the exception rather than the rule. Breezy conditions are likely around North Sea coasts, contributing to a cooler feel in eastern areas. Temperatures will be near average overall
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Met Office daily weather: Mixed conditions follow on from Storm Floris
with patchy rain or drizzle at times. Through the afternoon and evening, cloud will begin to increase from the west, ahead of an approaching weather front. Winds will generally be light to moderate, helping most areas feel warmer than Tuesday. However, winds will begin to strengthen in the northwest
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Met Office daily weather: Mixed conditions follow on from Storm Floris
with patchy rain or drizzle at times. Through the afternoon and evening, cloud will begin to increase from the west, ahead of an approaching weather front. Winds will generally be light to moderate, helping most areas feel warmer than Tuesday. However, winds will begin to strengthen in the northwest