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, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current

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international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña

Aurora to be visible to parts of the UK tonight, but will it be clear?

occur high in the atmosphere, typically between 80 and 300 kilometres above the Earth’s surface. To see them, clear, dark skies are essential. Even thin cloud can obscure the subtle colours and movements of the aurora, while thick cloud makes sightings impossible. Light pollution from urban areas

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and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre

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place during the first half of next year. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance

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Pacific. 3-Month Outlook December to February - Rainfall The latest statement from the NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP states that “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March) and into spring 2021 (~65% chance during March-May

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temperature anomalies, trade wind strength, atmospheric pressure pattern and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift into neutral conditions is likely, with the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) stating

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