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• Rainfall across Europe disrupted by climate change

  emissions could increase the variability of European seasonal rainfall, which suggests extreme events will be more likely in the future. There is an increasing risk of extremely dry seasons in the Mediterranean and extremely wet seasons elsewhere in Europe, which can lead to major impacts

• Warmest February on record for England and Wales

  England and Wales had their respective warmest Februarys on record according to provisional Met Office statistics in what was a mild and wet month for many.

  hazards, most notably in early December and mid-January. This contrasts with the often mild, wet and stormy weather through much of the season. This winter is in the top 10 warmest and top 10 wettest for the UK. The UK recorded a mean average temperature of 5.29°C across the three months, making

• rwigi_et_al_june_2016pdf

  rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

• rwigi_et_al._june_2016.pdf

  rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

• PowerPoint Presentation

  , it is likely to be wetter than normal. Looking further ahead across East Africa, the Short Rains season (from September) is increasingly likely to be drier than normal, particularly in coastal regions. Forecasts for concurrent La Niña and negative Indian Ocean Dipole, along with high-level agreement

• PowerPoint Presentation

  coming to end. Rainfall returning to normal for most of these areas though Cameroon is likely to be wetter than normal. Signals are weak across East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia, Kenya and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than normal whilst parts of Tanzania and Mozambique

• PowerPoint Presentation

  -Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than

• synthesis-report_v6.pdf

  disrupting production, raising costs, and increasing volatility, and the evidence shows that these risks will intensify over the next few decades. The UK is likely to experience hotter, drier summers; warmer, wetter winters; and more frequent extreme weather events (Met Office, 2026). Extreme heat

• synthesis-report_v6pdf

  disrupting production, raising costs, and increasing volatility, and the evidence shows that these risks will intensify over the next few decades. The UK is likely to experience hotter, drier summers; warmer, wetter winters; and more frequent extreme weather events (Met Office, 2026). Extreme heat

• What does a 3 Month Outlook really tell us?

  higher than usual for the season overall. It means that a more settled summer, and one with repeated periods of  wetter or more unsettled weather can still occur. The Outlook reflects the balance of probabilities across all different possible outcomes, rather than predicting a single, fixed weather