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average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

in the south early on, October 2023 overall goes down as a wet month for much of the UK, with some areas seeing record-breaking levels of rainfall. “From mid-month, a blocking high set up over Scandinavia has tended to prevent low pressure systems from clearing the UK to the east. Associated

winter. Each phase describes sea surface temperature and accompanying atmospheric circulation patterns over the tropical Pacific Ocean.   Global weather impacts UK weather impacts ENSO can affect weather around the world, changing the chances of floods, drought, heatwaves and cold seasons

-normal, though more mixed across DRC. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall The Short Rains season in East Africa brought wetter than normal conditions to many areas, most notably in November when most parts were very wet. In southern Africa during October, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mozambique were wet

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

as this is the dry season in these areas. In contrast, this period tends to be part of the wetter part of the year across the south of the Arabian Peninsula and wetter than normal conditions are likely for Yemen and Oman. It is likely to be drier than normal across the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook

Outlook for the October to December wet season.

East Africa refers to the region 5°N to 15°S and east of 30°E, mainly incorporating the countries Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Malawi and parts of Zambia and Mozambique. Rainfall occurs in two wet seasons - in March to May and October to December. Our forecast is for the latter period. Forecasts

Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, but this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK.

Autumn  Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK, as the map below indicates. There has been a marked difference in rainfall

frequent these very wet days have been in the most recent decade (2014-2023). The most recent decade has had around 20% more days of exceptional rainfall compared to the 1961-1990 averaging period. While there is no significant signal for this change being more pronounced in a specific area of the UK