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Center and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Cold in the far south (2) Note: Warm in the northwest (3) Note: Dry or very dry in the north (4) Note: Wet or very wet in the northwest

Outlook for the October to December wet season.

East Africa refers to the region 5°N to 15°S and east of 30°E, mainly incorporating the countries Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Malawi and parts of Zambia and Mozambique. Rainfall occurs in two wet seasons - in March to May and October to December. Our forecast is for the latter period. Forecasts

frequent these very wet days have been in the most recent decade (2014-2023). The most recent decade has had around 20% more days of exceptional rainfall compared to the 1961-1990 averaging period. While there is no significant signal for this change being more pronounced in a specific area of the UK

and January respectively. The Short Rains season (October to December) in East Africa brought above average rainfall to many areas in November with most parts very wet. December was mostly near-normal while January was wet in many areas. During November, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe and parts

to have near-normal rainfall; although climatologically, very little rain falls in this period. It is likely to be wetter than normal for parts of Yemen, as well as Guyana, and the south of the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook: the 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is from June

headline message of a “greater chance of warmer wetter winters and hotter drier summers” across the UK in future Local 2.2km adds further capability to the UKCP18 suite of climate projections. Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local

Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: August to January Current Status 10 Current Status

rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b