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  • PowerPoint Presentation

    and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The next three months is peak rainy season across southern Africa. Large parts of this region have seen a dry start to the rainy season, exacerbated by an extreme heat wave for many

  • rwigi_et_al._june_2016.pdf

    rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

  • rwigi_et_al_june_2016pdf

    rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    , it is likely to be wetter than normal. Looking further ahead across East Africa, the Short Rains season (from September) is increasingly likely to be drier than normal, particularly in coastal regions. Forecasts for concurrent La Niña and negative Indian Ocean Dipole, along with high-level agreement

  • Has spring weather influenced your mood?

    Despite recent sunny weather, much of early spring had been rather dull, wet and unsettled.  Early provisional figures from the Met Office suggest a largely dull season so far, with March in particular seeing much fewer sunshine hours than average.   Several counties in the south of the UK

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    -Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    coming to end. Rainfall returning to normal for most of these areas though Cameroon is likely to be wetter than normal. Signals are weak across East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia, Kenya and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than normal whilst parts of Tanzania and Mozambique

  • africa-climate-outlook---july-2024.pdf

    than normal conditions across East Africa in April gave way to a normal May, coinciding with the end of the Long Rains season. It’s been normal to very dry in June. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Central Africa was very dry in May but wet conditions prevailed in Chad during June

  • africa-climate-outlook---july-2024pdf

    than normal conditions across East Africa in April gave way to a normal May, coinciding with the end of the Long Rains season. It’s been normal to very dry in June. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Central Africa was very dry in May but wet conditions prevailed in Chad during June

  • What does a 3 Month Outlook really tell us?

    higher than usual for the season overall. It means that a more settled summer, and one with repeated periods of  wetter or more unsettled weather can still occur. The Outlook reflects the balance of probabilities across all different possible outcomes, rather than predicting a single, fixed weather

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