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What does a 3 Month Outlook really tell us?
higher than usual for the season overall. It means that a more settled summer, and one with repeated periods of wetter or more unsettled weather can still occur. The Outlook reflects the balance of probabilities across all different possible outcomes, rather than predicting a single, fixed weather
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Rainfall across Europe disrupted by climate change
emissions could increase the variability of European seasonal rainfall, which suggests extreme events will be more likely in the future. There is an increasing risk of extremely dry seasons in the Mediterranean and extremely wet seasons elsewhere in Europe, which can lead to major impacts
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Satellite image of the month - 2023
mountain range. The first snowfall of the season can be seen to have covered much of the Alps, from the mountain areas of Austria at its eastern end and right across to the south-western end, near the French/Italian border north of Nice. Credits: Image: © Crown copyright, Met Office, Data: NOAA/NASA
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Warm May and spring for the UK
The UK had its warmest May and meteorological spring on record according to provisional Met Office figures in what was also a wet and dull season for many.
Spring 2024 provisional statistics Meteorological spring (March, April and May) was the warmest on record by mean temperature, in figures that were influenced by high overnight temperatures. March started the season with a mild and wet month, and that theme continued through much of spring. April
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What can the world expect from the developing El Niño?
global temperature; very likely to a new global record this year or next. There are anticipated impacts in regions adjacent to the Pacific; notably southeast Asia and eastern Australia, where we could see drier than average conditions which could exacerbate wildfire risk. There is a known association
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More extreme weather events with planetary warming
increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s. The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater
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Warmest February on record for England and Wales
England and Wales had their respective warmest Februarys on record according to provisional Met Office statistics in what was a mild and wet month for many.
hazards, most notably in early December and mid-January. This contrasts with the often mild, wet and stormy weather through much of the season. This winter is in the top 10 warmest and top 10 wettest for the UK. The UK recorded a mean average temperature of 5.29°C across the three months, making
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PowerPoint Presentation
and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The next three months is peak rainy season across southern Africa. Large parts of this region have seen a dry start to the rainy season, exacerbated by an extreme heat wave for many
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rwigi_et_al_june_2016pdf
rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter
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rwigi_et_al._june_2016.pdf
rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter