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• More extreme weather events with planetary warming

  increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater

• rwigi_et_al_june_2016pdf

  rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

• rwigi_et_al._june_2016.pdf

  rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

• PowerPoint Presentation

  , it is likely to be wetter than normal. Looking further ahead across East Africa, the Short Rains season (from September) is increasingly likely to be drier than normal, particularly in coastal regions. Forecasts for concurrent La Niña and negative Indian Ocean Dipole, along with high-level agreement

• Has spring weather influenced your mood?

  Despite recent sunny weather, much of early spring had been rather dull, wet and unsettled.  Early provisional figures from the Met Office suggest a largely dull season so far, with March in particular seeing much fewer sunshine hours than average.   Several counties in the south of the UK

• UK and Global extreme events – Drought

  . Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat

• Satellite image of the month - 2023

  mountain range. The first snowfall of the season can be seen to have covered much of the Alps, from the mountain areas of Austria at its eastern end and right across to the south-western end, near the French/Italian border north of Nice. Credits: Image: © Crown copyright, Met Office, Data: NOAA/NASA

• What does a 3 Month Outlook really tell us?

  higher than usual for the season overall. It means that a more settled summer, and one with repeated periods of  wetter or more unsettled weather can still occur. The Outlook reflects the balance of probabilities across all different possible outcomes, rather than predicting a single, fixed weather

• PowerPoint Presentation

  coming to end. Rainfall returning to normal for most of these areas though Cameroon is likely to be wetter than normal. Signals are weak across East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia, Kenya and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than normal whilst parts of Tanzania and Mozambique

• PowerPoint Presentation

  -Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than