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Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

to have near-normal rainfall; although climatologically, very little rain falls in this period. It is likely to be wetter than normal for parts of Yemen, as well as Guyana, and the south of the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook: the 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is from June

and January respectively. The Short Rains season (October to December) in East Africa brought above average rainfall to many areas in November with most parts very wet. December was mostly near-normal while January was wet in many areas. During November, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe and parts

Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, but this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK.

Autumn  Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK, as the map below indicates. There has been a marked difference in rainfall

headline message of a “greater chance of warmer wetter winters and hotter drier summers” across the UK in future Local 2.2km adds further capability to the UKCP18 suite of climate projections. Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local

climate. Human-induced climate change has increased the likelihood of extreme heat as we saw in July this year, but this year has also seen persistent warmth resulting in the year overall challenging the record previously set in 2014.”  Mild and wet Autumn  Autumn’s mean temperature provisionally

) Note: Wet in the west. (3) Note: Hot in the west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: August to January Current Status 10 Current Status

three months. It is likely to be wetter than normal than across southern Europe. Tropical Cyclone outlook: September is normally the peak of the North Atlantic tropical cyclone season. The latest forecast, issued 01 August 2023, suggests a more active than usual North Atlantic tropical storm

rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information