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balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones

and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. Uganda was also very wet in July and August with Cameroon wet in July and very dry in August. Ghana was very dry in July. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season takes place for many parts during this period

1991/92 to 2020/21. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid and Met Éireann’s gridded precipitation datasets. Climate change also had a strong influence on autumn and winter total rainfall. In a pre-industrial climate, wet periods such as the 2023-24 October-March season had an estimated return period of 1

increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater

/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In March western Nigeria had normal rainfall but it was Very Wet in the east, whilst the dry season continued in the north. ^^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month

76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

back on a storm-laden season Author: Press Office 27 August 2024 With publication of the latest storm names for use for 2024/25 due later this week, we look back at the storms of 2023/24 in what was a wet and windy autumn and winter for many in the UK. Most named storms The 2023/24 storm season

the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Normal or cold in the north, hot in the south (2) Note: Normal in the northeast (3) Note: Large variations across the country (4) Note: Warm or hot in the southwest, cool to normal in the northeast (5) Note: Normal in the west, very wet

Kenya, western Tanzania and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal, with more mixed conditions in December. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall Outlook: The development of La Niña usually increases slightly the chance of a wetter than normal season across parts of southern Africa

. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat