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. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat

as this is the dry season in these areas. In contrast, this period tends to be part of the wetter part of the year across the south of the Arabian Peninsula and wetter than normal conditions are likely for Yemen and Oman. It is likely to be drier than normal across the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

Outlook for the October to December wet season.

East Africa refers to the region 5°N to 15°S and east of 30°E, mainly incorporating the countries Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Malawi and parts of Zambia and Mozambique. Rainfall occurs in two wet seasons - in March to May and October to December. Our forecast is for the latter period. Forecasts

winter. Each phase describes sea surface temperature and accompanying atmospheric circulation patterns over the tropical Pacific Ocean.   Global weather impacts UK weather impacts ENSO can affect weather around the world, changing the chances of floods, drought, heatwaves and cold seasons

. On a regional scale, Europe, North America, Asia and Australasia have very likely (over 90% probability) observed an increase in heat extremes and decrease in cold extremes. Europe, Asia and Australia have also likely (over 66% probability) observed an increase in heatwaves. Due to less data

America including Colombia, Venezuela and Guyana, wetter than normal conditions are likely. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic season officially finishes at the end of November though on rare occasions systems can form beyond this. Late season forecasts suggest above average activity during

, cold in the south (4) Note: Wet in the far south, otherwise normal. (5) Note: Normal in the north, very dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: May to February Current Status 11 Current Status – Caribbean

increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater