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1991/92 to 2020/21. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid and Met Éireann’s gridded precipitation datasets. Climate change also had a strong influence on autumn and winter total rainfall. In a pre-industrial climate, wet periods such as the 2023-24 October-March season had an estimated return period of 1

. On a regional scale, Europe, North America, Asia and Australasia have very likely (over 90% probability) observed an increase in heat extremes and decrease in cold extremes. Europe, Asia and Australia have also likely (over 66% probability) observed an increase in heatwaves. Due to less data

-normal, though more mixed across DRC. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall The Short Rains season in East Africa brought wetter than normal conditions to many areas, most notably in November when most parts were very wet. In southern Africa during October, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mozambique were wet

increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater

summer 2017 Floods in Florida October 2015 Harbin, China South Asia including Pakistan Source: BBC Frost Risk Climate sensitive diseases Water, Agriculture, Biodiversity Frost Risk for vineyards Infectious diseases Source: Decanter.com Source: Carbon brief Source: UN water Source: Arctic Youth

as this is the dry season in these areas. In contrast, this period tends to be part of the wetter part of the year across the south of the Arabian Peninsula and wetter than normal conditions are likely for Yemen and Oman. It is likely to be drier than normal across the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook

America including Colombia, Venezuela and Guyana, wetter than normal conditions are likely. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic season officially finishes at the end of November though on rare occasions systems can form beyond this. Late season forecasts suggest above average activity during

, cold in the south (4) Note: Wet in the far south, otherwise normal. (5) Note: Normal in the north, very dry in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: May to February Current Status 11 Current Status – Caribbean

winter. Each phase describes sea surface temperature and accompanying atmospheric circulation patterns over the tropical Pacific Ocean.   Global weather impacts UK weather impacts ENSO can affect weather around the world, changing the chances of floods, drought, heatwaves and cold seasons

Center and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Cold in the far south (2) Note: Warm in the northwest (3) Note: Dry or very dry in the north (4) Note: Wet or very wet in the northwest