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Microsoft PowerPoint - Tennant_SeamlessModelling_Bristol_Jun2025

-member tropical cyclone tracks (left), probability plume of the same (centre) and box-whisker plots of central wind-speed and pressure (right). The solid cyan line shows the observations and previous forecasts to help gauge forecast performance of this system so far, top panel shows number of members

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Future extreme rainfall more extreme than first thought

The impacts of extreme rainfall could be more frequent and severe than had previously been thought at the last UN climate conference, COP25, two years ago in Madrid. A new generation of climate models and the latest IPCC assessment (AR6) have provided a new light to look at the recent catastrophic

Marine observations: Underpinning forecasts and climate understanding 

warnings UK Storm Centre Seasonal advice Maps & charts Maps & charts UK forecast UK weather map Cloud cover map Precipitation map Lightning map Rainfall map Temperature map Wind map Wind gust map Surface pressure charts All countries Climate Climate Climate explained What is climate change? Causes

Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook

warnings UK Storm Centre Seasonal advice Maps & charts Maps & charts UK forecast UK weather map Cloud cover map Precipitation map Lightning map Rainfall map Temperature map Wind map Wind gust map Surface pressure charts All countries Climate Climate Climate explained What is climate change? Causes

News

Ex-hurricane Ophelia passes after 90mph winds

, it will remain blustery across some north eastern parts through this afternoon, and it’ll feel cooler than yesterday with top temperatures reaching 17-18C. Scotland and Northern Ireland will stay mostly cloudy with some light showers whilst sunshine across England and Wales gives way to cloud

Met Office daily weather: Sunshine and showers with temperatures feeling mild

of the UK, with sunny spells developing widely. There is a small chance of a few light afternoon showers, mainly affecting eastern parts of Scotland and England. Later in the day, cloud will begin to thicken from the northwest, bringing the likelihood of mainly light rain by the evening. Winds will remain

Met Office weather: What to expect for Father's Day?

is a little brighter. Variable cloud cover will dominate much of the country, with some sunny spells breaking through. However, as the day progresses, isolated showers may develop—especially in central and eastern areas. While most of these will be light, there is a low risk of heavier downpours in a few

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