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in southern Australia.  In light of the Australian fires, in January 2020 an international group of scientists, including from University of East Anglia (UEA), Met Office Hadley Centre, University of Exeter, Imperial College London, and CSIRO Oceans and Atmosphere reviewed published scientific evidence

The weather on Tuesday and Wednesday is set to bring a mix of sunshine, cloud, and the occasional light shower.

While daytime temperatures will feel pleasant in many areas, chilly nights and a brisk breeze in the southeast will keep things feeling fresh. Tuesday will bring generally dry conditions with sunny intervals across much of the country. However, cloudier skies and isolated light showers are expected

Scotland, Northern Ireland, and northern England. It will be breezy in north and west Scotland, with a few showers persisting. Outlook for Wednesday Wednesday will begin with the possibility of a few fog patches in the south, ahead of a band of mostly light rain and drizzle that will continue

and northern areas for much of the day. The southeast will remain rather cloudy, with the odd showery outbreak of light rain and some areas of low cloud, particularly on south-facing coasts and hills. A moderate breeze will persist throughout. It will remain very mild, though temperatures will begin to fall

Thursday will begin with a few early mist and fog patches, particularly in rural areas. These will steadily lift through the morning, leaving most places dry with a mix of variable cloud and sunny spells. The far northwest and the far southeast may see cloudier skies at times, with the odd light

international modelling centres. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Asia: October to July Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) – The current La Niña

, respectively; regions shaded in light and dark blue indicate values below the 20th (Cool) and 10th (Cold) percentile, with respect to the 1981-2010 climatology. The data used in this map are from the NOAA Climate Prediction Center. Climate Outlook Asia: February to November Current Status 8 Current

and cloudiness all consistent with this. The event has likely recently peaked and a gradual shift towards more neutral conditions should take place during the first half of next year. However, over the next few months there is ~95% chance of La Niña continuing. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre

of a La Niña event developing. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall According to CPC, the chance of La Niña developing in the period September-November is around 66%, rising to 74% in the early winter (November-January). However, other centres (such as BoM) have predictions which are much

place during the first half of next year. The latest NOAA Climate Prediction Centre / NCEP statement (PDF) states that: “La Niña is likely to continue through the Northern Hemisphere winter 2020-21 (~95% chance during January-March), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance