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Atlantic Tropical Cyclone outlook (Hurricanes) : For the September to February period, near to slightly above average activity is the most probable outcome, with storms perhaps preferentially affecting the Gulf of Mexico where there are currently above-average sea surface temperatures. More information

and Colombia are likely to experience above normal rainfall. Tropical cyclones – The North Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on 1 June. Early forecasts for the season show near or slightly above normal activity is most likely. 3-Month Outlook May to July - Rainfall Much More Likely Below Normal

) recorded a daytime maximum of 17.2 °C. The 17th was bright and breezy, with showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Midlands and north-west. Storm Eunice produced hurricane-force winds over parts of the south on the 18th, with gusts widely exceeding 80 mph and reaching 122 mph at Needles (Isle

and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Tropical Cyclone activity and their likely tracks may also be affected by the La Nina episode. Typically, during a La Nina, the North Atlantic Hurricane Season (June – November, currently above-average with 19 named storms) is slightly more active

of the Caribbean, wetter than normal conditions are likely, although the far south of Windward Islands and Guyana are more likely to be drier than normal. Tropical Cyclone outlook: Information can be found here. The climatological peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season is during September though

is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial Licence (CC BY-NC 4.0). Cover photo: Men cover the windows of a car parts store in preparation for Hurricane Irma in San Juan, Puerto Rico ©2017 Alvin Baez / Reuters Pictures Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank Erin Coughlan

England to issue a Heat Health Watch. This was followed by accurate forecasts of the thundery showers marking the end of the hot weather. Again, in October, our warnings helped people stay safe when ex-hurricane Ophelia brought storm force winds to some western parts of the UK and Ireland

of the windstorms that affect the UK are ex-hurricanes (or post-tropical cyclones), that transition from the tropics. There is limited evidence of more frequent post-tropical cyclone events in the North Atlantic (Baker et al., 2022), but the number of tropical and extra-tropical cyclones naturally varies a lot

by NMHS offer a wide range of benefits to society, many of which are intangible and hard to quantify (Lazo et al., 2008). Some of the key outcomes of WCS, such as a reduction in the number of hurricane deaths following an early warning, or an increase in food security following delayed planting

climate really captures the young imagination. Case studies on major weather events such as the Great Smog of 1952, the Great Storm of 1987, the European heatwave in 2003, the Boscastle floods in 2004 and Hurricane Katrina in 2005 bring a captivating new dimension to schoolchildren’s studies. Find out