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Increasingly extreme weather is one of the most damaging and costly impacts from climate change.

New projections for rainfall and temperature extremes A new set of projections from the Met Office reveal that extremes of rainfall and high temperatures are expected to exceed the extreme conditions that we have already experienced in the UK, breaking records and placing increasing challenges

simulations start at year 1850. The likelihood of extreme heatwaves is calculated under four different climatic conditions: the natural climate, represented by all June temperature anomalies extracted from the NAT experiment. The climate of 2003, when the record June temperature was observed, represented

. • The climate of 2003, when the record June temperature was observed, represented by temperature anomalies in years 1993-2012 extracted from the ALL experiment. • the present climate, represented by the temperature anomalies in years 2013-2032 extracted from the ALL experiment. • the climate of the late

In this article, Laura explains how bringing together climate science, meteorology, and industry expertise can help organisations use innovative management and technology to adapt to climate change.

have come up with numerous examples of applying statistical extreme value analysis to determine plausible rainfall extremes. The Met Office’s National Climate Information Centre keeps a record of meteorological data dating back hundreds of years. We use this information to see how these records

is already evident in the observed record. This has widespread and significant impacts. Extreme heat events do occur within natural climate variation due to changes in global weather patterns. However, the increase in the frequency, duration, and intensity of these events over recent decades

; Arndt et al. 2010). This implies that more moisture is available to form precipitation in extreme events and to provide additional energy to further intensify such events. About two-thirds of locations globally with long, climate-quality instrumental records [e.g., as compiled in the Hadley Centre

of Global Framework for Climate Services (GFCS) for strengthening climate information generation where Data Rescue (DARE) is number 3 on WMO priority list. Supported by: Fund Manager: Delivery Partners: 26 The introduction of additional historical data will provide more robust historical climate record

of heatwaves. For example, the summer of 2018 was the joint warmest on record for the UK as a whole and the hottest ever for England. The Met Office has shown that human-induced climate change made the 2018 record-breaking UK summer temperatures about 30 times more likely than it would have been

UKCP18 includes a comprehensive set of observations of weather and climate covering the UK, with some records extending back over 150 years. Examining observations enables us to place the model simulated climate into context.

State of the UK Climate The State of the UK Climate report provides the most recent annual update and interpretation of these observations.  The observations conform to current best practice observational standards as defined by the World Meteorological Organization and pass through a range

to be crossed almost every year by the end of the century. The event in the present climate has a return time of 3.41 years (best estimate) and is estimated to be about 160 times more likely than in the NAT climate. The likelihood of exceeding the record seen in year 2014 is calculated next