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• Mixed conditions bring warm and wet summer for the UK

  and August’s respective average temperatures were generally closer to average. However, despite above average temperatures for the season, it has also been a wetter than average summer, with July leading the way in terms of rainfall; which was provisionally the UK’s sixth wettest July on record

• Understanding convergence zones and the Intertropical Convergence Zone

  continue to converge, wet conditions can persist, sometimes resulting in significant rainfall totals and even flooding. Convergence lines are not limited to a particular season and can occur at any time of year. During the summer months, local sea breezes can help form convergence lines

• Microsoft Word - high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-summary_final

  . December average temperatures 6 o C above the long-term mean in England from the Midlands southwards, and 5 o C above the long-term mean elsewhere. Average seasonal temperatures 3 o C above the long-term mean across the UK. Compound months and seasons November to April Wet (rainfall 2.5 times

• met_office_pagasa_february_workshop_report.pdf

  rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

• met_office_pagasa_february_workshop_reportpdf

  rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

• Met Office seasonal and climate models explained

  Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

• high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-background-report.pdf

  76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

• high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-background-reportpdf

  76 Figure 5.11 Regional compound temperature and rainfall extremes 78 Figure 5.12a Persistent and whiplash hot and cold months and seasons 84 Figure 5.12b Persistent and whiplash wet and dry months and seasons 84 Figure 5.13 Years with record monthly and daily extremes a) High temperature extremes b

• marcia-zilli-jerry-samuel-neil-hart---future-changes-in-the-characteristics-of-the-dry-to-wet-transition-period-in-southern-africa-and-south-america-using-convection-permitting-simulations.pdf

  and the Environment, University of Oxford, UK Dry-to-wet transition Two-tier approach: (1) climatologial envelope when the transition should occur (2) dry-to-wet transition in each year/season (1) Gradient (x100) Filtered precipitation Filtered Precipitation (60-points second order Butterworth filter

• marcia-zilli-jerry-samuel-neil-hart---future-changes-in-the-characteristics-of-the-dry-to-wet-transition-period-in-southern-africa-and-south-america-using-convection-permitting-simulationspdf

  and the Environment, University of Oxford, UK Dry-to-wet transition Two-tier approach: (1) climatologial envelope when the transition should occur (2) dry-to-wet transition in each year/season (1) Gradient (x100) Filtered precipitation Filtered Precipitation (60-points second order Butterworth filter