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of Sahel, especially Mali and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season will commence later in this period (the season nominally runs from October to December). Here, drier than normal conditions are more likely

, Dennis and Jorge, bringing wet and windy weather in February. The most noteworthy winter month was February, due to a rapid succession of named storms, rainfall totals were well above normal virtually everywhere, with many places getting more than three times their expected average. It was the wettest

Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

from 1910 across East Anglia and south-east England. It was also the driest spring since 1893 in the England and Wales precipitation series (HadEWP). Some locations recorded less than 25 mm of rain for the whole season. Summer 2011 was rather indifferent and wetter than average for the UK overall

conditions thereafter - this is the dry season, so observed rainfall totals were small. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall Outlook: Over the next three months, the West African Monsoon will move south. Many areas of west and central Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Eastern

this is more difficult, increasing health risk to humans. Analysis of the new data has shown that global annual / seasonal mean of maximum daily wet bulb temperature, a measure of humidity, has increased by around 0.2°C each decade between 1973-2022. This rate of change is even higher when looking

series of Niño3.4 indices for all initialised forecasts relative to ERSST IV. Prediction of Regional Impacts Based on Nov0 initialised forecasts: Model predicts overall dry conditions across Australia during 1 st (Y0) and 2 nd (Y+1) wet-season of multi-year El Nino events but underestimates the rainfall

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Very Wet in the east, normal or dry in the west (2) Note: Very Wet in the north (3) Note: Mainly normal or cool but cold in the north (4) Note

balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones

and Burkina Faso were wet or very wet. Uganda was also very wet in July and August with Cameroon wet in July and very dry in August. Ghana was very dry in July. 3-Month Outlook November to January - Rainfall Outlook: In East Africa, the ‘Short Rains’ season takes place for many parts during this period