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winter. Each phase describes sea surface temperature and accompanying atmospheric circulation patterns over the tropical Pacific Ocean.   Global weather impacts UK weather impacts ENSO can affect weather around the world, changing the chances of floods, drought, heatwaves and cold seasons

and January respectively. The Short Rains season (October to December) in East Africa brought above average rainfall to many areas in November with most parts very wet. December was mostly near-normal while January was wet in many areas. During November, South Africa, Zambia, Zimbabwe and parts

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

average for the first half of the month (Fyvie Castle, Aberdeenshire recorded a maximum temperature of 25.4°C on 11 th May) and slightly above or close to average for the second half. It was a wet season with heavy rain in southern and central England during March, in northern England and Scotland

to have near-normal rainfall; although climatologically, very little rain falls in this period. It is likely to be wetter than normal for parts of Yemen, as well as Guyana, and the south of the Caribbean. Atlantic Tropical Storm outlook: the 2022 Atlantic Tropical Storm season is from June

three months. It is likely to be wetter than normal than across southern Europe. Tropical Cyclone outlook: September is normally the peak of the North Atlantic tropical cyclone season. The latest forecast, issued 01 August 2023, suggests a more active than usual North Atlantic tropical storm

frequent these very wet days have been in the most recent decade (2014-2023). The most recent decade has had around 20% more days of exceptional rainfall compared to the 1961-1990 averaging period. While there is no significant signal for this change being more pronounced in a specific area of the UK

headline message of a “greater chance of warmer wetter winters and hotter drier summers” across the UK in future Local 2.2km adds further capability to the UKCP18 suite of climate projections. Working together on UK Climate Projections Projecting future seasons using the Local (2.2km) The Local

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: August to January Current Status 10 Current Status

. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat