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are much more likely to be wetter than normal over the next three months, which coincides with the beginning of the region’s wet season. 3-Month Outlook May to July - Rainfall Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Left: Middle East and North Africa Right: Caribbean region Likely

frequent these very wet days have been in the most recent decade (2014-2023). The most recent decade has had around 20% more days of exceptional rainfall compared to the 1961-1990 averaging period. While there is no significant signal for this change being more pronounced in a specific area of the UK

Prediction Center and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. Additional Information: Note^: In March, southeast Turkey was Very Wet. Note^^: In March, northern Iraq and northern Syria were Very Wet. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

of the region’s wet season. This came ahead of Hurricane Beryl, which impacted the region early July. Outlook: Across the MENA region, near-normal rainfall is likely for much of the north, including much of the Levant and northern Africa. Gibraltar, as well as northern Morocco, northern Algeria

) Note: Wet in the west. (3) Note: Hot in the west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August

: March to December Overview 3 MENA, Caribbean and British Overseas Territories Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: Mostly normal or dry across MENA and the Caribbean. Wet across parts of the Levant during March and May. Very Wet in Gibraltar during March. Outlook: Across MENA

climate. Human-induced climate change has increased the likelihood of extreme heat as we saw in July this year, but this year has also seen persistent warmth resulting in the year overall challenging the record previously set in 2014.”  Mild and wet Autumn  Autumn’s mean temperature provisionally

increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater

in the north (2) Note: Very Wet along the coast; otherwise, normal (3) Note: Very wet in the north; otherwise, normal (4) Note: Normal southwest, hot northeast * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: October to July Current Status

Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, but this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK.

Autumn  Many people in England will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this hasn’t been the case across the whole of the UK, as the map below indicates. There has been a marked difference in rainfall