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• Microsoft Word - high-impact-low-likelihood-scenarios-for-the-uk-summary_final

  . December average temperatures 6 o C above the long-term mean in England from the Midlands southwards, and 5 o C above the long-term mean elsewhere. Average seasonal temperatures 3 o C above the long-term mean across the UK. Compound months and seasons November to April Wet (rainfall 2.5 times

• Early warnings fit for today and the future

  The WMO’s Early Warnings for All initiative will ensure that every person on earth will be protected by early warning systems by early 2027. The Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) programme, supported by UK aid, aimed to help advance implementation of impact-based forecasting

• final_arrcc_carissa_regional_workshop_jan2019_report.pdf

  time in order to reduce climate-related risks and support sustainable development for the coming season in sectors of critical socioeconomic significance. He cited South Asian Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF) as an example of an RCOF. He added that the approach could be demonstrated in a few target

• Met Office explains: How is thunder formed?

  coast, but elsewhere in the UK, summer is typically the most thundery season. This variability means that maps showing thunderstorm frequency can differ depending on the period of record used. What causes lightning? Lightning is the precursor to thunder and forms within storm clouds through

• marcia-zilli-jerry-samuel-neil-hart---future-changes-in-the-characteristics-of-the-dry-to-wet-transition-period-in-southern-africa-and-south-america-using-convection-permitting-simulations.pdf

  and the Environment, University of Oxford, UK Dry-to-wet transition Two-tier approach: (1) climatologial envelope when the transition should occur (2) dry-to-wet transition in each year/season (1) Gradient (x100) Filtered precipitation Filtered Precipitation (60-points second order Butterworth filter

• marcia-zilli-jerry-samuel-neil-hart---future-changes-in-the-characteristics-of-the-dry-to-wet-transition-period-in-southern-africa-and-south-america-using-convection-permitting-simulationspdf

  and the Environment, University of Oxford, UK Dry-to-wet transition Two-tier approach: (1) climatologial envelope when the transition should occur (2) dry-to-wet transition in each year/season (1) Gradient (x100) Filtered precipitation Filtered Precipitation (60-points second order Butterworth filter

• Microsoft Word - EAfrica2019

  but probabilities of a wetter season than last year and of 10-year extremes are presented. A wetter season than 2018 is favoured in most boxes east of 30E and between 10N and 10S. Elsewhere a drier season than 2018 is likely in most grid boxes. Probabilities of a season drier than any in the past 10 years (2009

• cssp_china_science__modelling.pdf

  characteristics of the East Asian Summer Monsoon compared to regional scale models, including the daily cycle of rainfall across many regions of China. Li et al (2019) focussed on an event in 2016 where 600mm of rainfall fell over parts of eastern China in just 6 days leading to catastrophic flooding

• Understanding convergence zones and the Intertropical Convergence Zone

  continue to converge, wet conditions can persist, sometimes resulting in significant rainfall totals and even flooding. Convergence lines are not limited to a particular season and can occur at any time of year. During the summer months, local sea breezes can help form convergence lines

• centellaartola15caribbeanprecisdomainsize.compressed.pdf

  features in the Caribbean. Results are presented for the early wet season (May–July) and late wet season (August– October). There is a relative insensitivity to domain size for simulating some important features of the regional circulation and key rainfall characteristics e.g. the Caribbean low level