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summer 2017 Floods in Florida October 2015 Harbin, China South Asia including Pakistan Source: BBC Frost Risk Climate sensitive diseases Water, Agriculture, Biodiversity Frost Risk for vineyards Infectious diseases Source: Decanter.com Source: Carbon brief Source: UN water Source: Arctic Youth

/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In March western Nigeria had normal rainfall but it was Very Wet in the east, whilst the dry season continued in the north. ^^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month

Kenya, western Tanzania and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal, with more mixed conditions in December. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall Outlook: The development of La Niña usually increases slightly the chance of a wetter than normal season across parts of southern Africa

the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Normal or cold in the north, hot in the south (2) Note: Normal in the northeast (3) Note: Large variations across the country (4) Note: Warm or hot in the southwest, cool to normal in the northeast (5) Note: Normal in the west, very wet

1991/92 to 2020/21. Source: Met Office HadUK-Grid and Met Éireann’s gridded precipitation datasets. Climate change also had a strong influence on autumn and winter total rainfall. In a pre-industrial climate, wet periods such as the 2023-24 October-March season had an estimated return period of 1

in the northeast (2) Note: Wet in the far west and dry in parts of the east, else normal (3) Note: Normal, but dry in the west * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: March to December Current Status 12 Current Status – Central Africa

-normal, though more mixed across DRC. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall The Short Rains season in East Africa brought wetter than normal conditions to many areas, most notably in November when most parts were very wet. In southern Africa during October, Zambia, Zimbabwe and Mozambique were wet

. On a regional scale, Europe, North America, Asia and Australasia have very likely (over 90% probability) observed an increase in heat extremes and decrease in cold extremes. Europe, Asia and Australia have also likely (over 66% probability) observed an increase in heatwaves. Due to less data

China coasts, including the PRD. Once fully developed, these could be issued in the winter for the following year’s tropical cyclone season (June-November) 2 . 2019 tropical cyclone landfall risk forecast for East Asia. Issued 1 May 2019 1 Camp et al (2019). The western Pacific subtropical high

. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat