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behaviour is influenced by events occurring far from our shores. A key factor in the current transition is the recent evolution of ex-Typhoon Halong in the Pacific. Last Friday, Halong was still a typhoon, but it soon underwent extratropical transition, similar to what happens with hurricanes

on the frequency of intense Atlantic hurricanes. Science, 327:454–458, 2010. L Bengtsson, K Hodges, M Esch, N Keenlyside, L Kornblueh, J-J Luo, and T Yamagata. How may tropical cyclones change in a warmer climate? Tellus A, 59(4):539–561, 2007. JN Brown, C Langlais, and AS Gupta. Projected sea surface

storms during the whole Atlantic season (taken from the US National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administartion National Hurricane Center http://www.nhc.noaa.gov) over the period 1993-2006. Verification of SST predictions As discussed previously, North Atlantic tropical storm frequencies are correlated

? Weekend weather forecast: Colder, breezier and showery for many Met Office weekend football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office

? Weekend weather forecast: Colder, breezier and showery for many Met Office weekend football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office

on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues into November Met Office weekend weather: Showers, wind

forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues into November Met Office

at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled weather continues into November Met Office weekend weather: Showers, wind, and occasional sunny spells Met

football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence to Kenya Met Office 10-day trend: Unsettled

, breezier and showery for many Met Office weekend football forecast Met Office week ahead forecast: Classic Autumnal weather on the way What do meteorologists do at the Met Office? Met Office Deep Dive: Hurricane Melissa and the UK weather outlook How the Met Office brings life-saving weather intelligence