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China coasts, including the PRD. Once fully developed, these could be issued in the winter for the following year’s tropical cyclone season (June-November) 2 . 2019 tropical cyclone landfall risk forecast for East Asia. Issued 1 May 2019 1 Camp et al (2019). The western Pacific subtropical high

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A look back at the weather and climate in 2020

, Dennis and Jorge, bringing wet and windy weather in February. The most noteworthy winter month was February, due to a rapid succession of named storms, rainfall totals were well above normal virtually everywhere, with many places getting more than three times their expected average. It was the wettest

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One of the hottest summers in Scotland and N. Ireland

Northern Ireland has had its third hottest summer on record, and Scotland its fourth. The summer of 2021 has been a season of contrasting fortunes across the UK, with the north and west of the UK experiencing a warmer, drier and sunnier season compared to average while parts of the south east have

seasonal-assessment---marapr24_v1.pdf

been unsettled, very wet, and dull with a succession of frontal systems bringing rain and wind. There was a cold start to March (Benson in Oxfordshire recorded -4.6°C on the 3 rd ) with snow falling on the 2 nd across parts of south-west England causing disruption to travel. After the first few days

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More extreme weather events with planetary warming

increase is observed in tropical regions of South America, Northern Africa and through Asia. Similarly, the number of warm nights in these regions have increased by over eight days per decade, leading to a doubling since the late 1970s.  The variability of rainfall over space and time tends to be greater

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conditions thereafter - this is the dry season, so observed rainfall totals were small. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall Outlook: Over the next three months, the West African Monsoon will move south. Many areas of west and central Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Eastern

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New global dataset shines a light on humidity extremes

this is more difficult, increasing health risk to humans. Analysis of the new data has shown that global annual / seasonal mean of maximum daily wet bulb temperature, a measure of humidity, has increased by around 0.2°C each decade between 1973-2022. This rate of change is even higher when looking

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balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones

UK and Global extreme events – Drought

. Shifting rainfall patterns will likely lead to some regions becoming wetter and others becoming drier. Additionally, these more arid regions could dry further because of global warming. Warmer temperatures can increase evaporation of water from the ground. As soils become drier, the air above may heat

Why do we have seasons?

marks the start of spring, and the autumn equinox marks the start of autumn. Do all countries have the same seasons? Not all parts of the world experience four seasons. Countries near the equator often have just two - wet and dry - because the Sun’s position doesn’t change much throughout the year

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