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-Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than

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2019: A year in review

will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this wasn’t the case across the whole of the UK.  There was been a marked difference in rainfall amounts between eastern parts of England and north western Scotland

africa-climate-outlook---july-2024.pdf

than normal conditions across East Africa in April gave way to a normal May, coinciding with the end of the Long Rains season. It’s been normal to very dry in June. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Central Africa was very dry in May but wet conditions prevailed in Chad during June

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, but wet or very wet in the southwest and east (May) (3) Note: Normal in the north (4) Note: Very Wet in the southwest, very dry in the north, normal elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Current

UK and Global extreme events – Heatwaves

. On a regional scale, Europe, North America, Asia and Australasia have very likely (over 90% probability) observed an increase in heat extremes and decrease in cold extremes. Europe, Asia and Australia have also likely (over 66% probability) observed an increase in heatwaves. Due to less data

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Northern Ireland records third wettest Autumn on record, and Wales its tenth

Meteorological Autumn has been wet and mild, with temperatures and rainfall above average, according to provisional Met Office figures.

Northern Ireland has recorded its third wettest Autumn since the series began in 1836, and Wales its tenth. Autumn 2025 now stands as the only season of the year to report above average rainfall, with winter, spring and summer all below their respective long-term averages.   A very wet season

met_office_pagasa_february_workshop_report.pdf

rainfall change; some evidence of a shift towards a decreasing frequency but increasing intensity of tropical cyclones; and understanding that El Nino events typically lead to drier conditions in the dry season and more extremes in the wet season. The scientists stated that such information

Met Office seasonal and climate models explained

Seasonal to decadal forecasts Although climate is expected to warm over the coming century in response to increasing levels of greenhouse gases, regional changes over the coming seasons to a decade or more are likely to be dominated by unforced natural variability of the climate system. Some

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Dull and mild February brings wet winter to a close

The Met Office has released its provisional statistics for Winter 2025/26 and February 2026, revealing a season characterised by persistent wet weather and stark regional rainfall contrasts.

 shows winter rainfall records by county from 1837 and in which year they occurred.    This winter was wetter than average across the UK, with the nation recording 13% more rainfall than the long-term meteorological average (LTA) for the season. However, the headline figure hides substantial regional

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to be wetter than normal. Many parts of western and the west of southern Africa are likely to experience dry conditions, with parts of Cameroon and Gabon much more likely to be drier than normal. Looking further ahead to September onwards, a drier than normal Short Rains season is likely across East Africa

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