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of Focus – wcssp context Problems of interest • Monsoon Weather and Climate Prediction • Heat/Cold Waves in other seasons • Cyclones during pre- and post-monsoon seasons • Monsoon depressions/low pressure systems • Extreme rainfall events • Lightening, hailstorms and thunderstorms New Scientific

of the region there is no clear consensus on whether the climate will be wetter or drier, although there is some evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season by mid-century in the north-east. The region has long coastlines with the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The coastal regions bordering

summer 2017 Floods in Florida October 2015 Harbin, China South Asia including Pakistan Source: BBC Frost Risk Climate sensitive diseases Water, Agriculture, Biodiversity Frost Risk for vineyards Infectious diseases Source: Decanter.com Source: Carbon brief Source: UN water Source: Arctic Youth

periods of rainfall. If the winds continue to converge, wet conditions can persist, sometimes resulting in significant rainfall totals and even flooding. Convergence lines are not limited to a particular season and can occur at any time of year. During the summer months, local sea breezes can help form

emissions could increase the variability of European seasonal rainfall, which suggests extreme events will be more likely in the future. There is an increasing risk of extremely dry seasons in the Mediterranean and extremely wet seasons elsewhere in Europe, which can lead to major impacts

The UK had its warmest May and meteorological spring on record according to provisional Met Office figures in what was also a wet and dull season for many.

Spring 2024 provisional statistics Meteorological spring (March, April and May) was the warmest on record by mean temperature, in figures that were influenced by high overnight temperatures. March started the season with a mild and wet month, and that theme continued through much of spring. April

China coasts, including the PRD. Once fully developed, these could be issued in the winter for the following year’s tropical cyclone season (June-November) 2 . 2019 tropical cyclone landfall risk forecast for East Asia. Issued 1 May 2019 1 Camp et al (2019). The western Pacific subtropical high

England and Wales had their respective warmest Februarys on record according to provisional Met Office statistics in what was a mild and wet month for many.

hazards, most notably in early December and mid-January. This contrasts with the often mild, wet and stormy weather through much of the season. This winter is in the top 10 warmest and top 10 wettest for the UK. The UK recorded a mean average temperature of 5.29°C across the three months, making

and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The next three months is peak rainy season across southern Africa. Large parts of this region have seen a dry start to the rainy season, exacerbated by an extreme heat wave for many

rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter