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balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones

this is more difficult, increasing health risk to humans. Analysis of the new data has shown that global annual / seasonal mean of maximum daily wet bulb temperature, a measure of humidity, has increased by around 0.2°C each decade between 1973-2022. This rate of change is even higher when looking

://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Very Wet in the east, normal or dry in the west (2) Note: Very Wet in the north (3) Note: Mainly normal or cool but cold in the north (4) Note

been unsettled, very wet, and dull with a succession of frontal systems bringing rain and wind. There was a cold start to March (Benson in Oxfordshire recorded -4.6°C on the 3 rd ) with snow falling on the 2 nd across parts of south-west England causing disruption to travel. After the first few days

from 1910 across East Anglia and south-east England. It was also the driest spring since 1893 in the England and Wales precipitation series (HadEWP). Some locations recorded less than 25 mm of rain for the whole season. Summer 2011 was rather indifferent and wetter than average for the UK overall

series of Niño3.4 indices for all initialised forecasts relative to ERSST IV. Prediction of Regional Impacts Based on Nov0 initialised forecasts: Model predicts overall dry conditions across Australia during 1 st (Y0) and 2 nd (Y+1) wet-season of multi-year El Nino events but underestimates the rainfall

/maproom/. Additional Information: ^Note: In March western Nigeria had normal rainfall but it was Very Wet in the east, whilst the dry season continued in the north. ^^Note: In April, northern Nigeria was Very Wet and western Cameroon Very Dry. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month

the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Normal or cold in the north, hot in the south (2) Note: Normal in the northeast (3) Note: Large variations across the country (4) Note: Warm or hot in the southwest, cool to normal in the northeast (5) Note: Normal in the west, very wet

Kenya, western Tanzania and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal, with more mixed conditions in December. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall Outlook: The development of La Niña usually increases slightly the chance of a wetter than normal season across parts of southern Africa

events in Nepal Studying past extreme rainfall events in South Asia has highlighted the importance of the timing and location of monsoon rainfall. Extreme events often occur during years with high variability in monsoon rains, and not necessarily years with above average seasonal rainfall. Extreme