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and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The next three months is peak rainy season across southern Africa. Large parts of this region have seen a dry start to the rainy season, exacerbated by an extreme heat wave for many

of the region there is no clear consensus on whether the climate will be wetter or drier, although there is some evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season by mid-century in the north-east. The region has long coastlines with the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The coastal regions bordering

rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

, it is likely to be wetter than normal. Looking further ahead across East Africa, the Short Rains season (from September) is increasingly likely to be drier than normal, particularly in coastal regions. Forecasts for concurrent La Niña and negative Indian Ocean Dipole, along with high-level agreement

-Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than

coming to end. Rainfall returning to normal for most of these areas though Cameroon is likely to be wetter than normal. Signals are weak across East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia, Kenya and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than normal whilst parts of Tanzania and Mozambique

will remember Autumn 2019 as a very wet season, with significant flooding in parts of the Midlands and days of prolonged rainfall. But this wasn’t the case across the whole of the UK.  There was been a marked difference in rainfall amounts between eastern parts of England and north western Scotland

periods of rainfall. If the winds continue to converge, wet conditions can persist, sometimes resulting in significant rainfall totals and even flooding. Convergence lines are not limited to a particular season and can occur at any time of year. During the summer months, local sea breezes can help form

than normal conditions across East Africa in April gave way to a normal May, coinciding with the end of the Long Rains season. It’s been normal to very dry in June. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Central Africa was very dry in May but wet conditions prevailed in Chad during June

, but wet or very wet in the southwest and east (May) (3) Note: Normal in the north (4) Note: Very Wet in the southwest, very dry in the north, normal elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: May to February Current