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to be wetter than normal. Many parts of western and the west of southern Africa are likely to experience dry conditions, with parts of Cameroon and Gabon much more likely to be drier than normal. Looking further ahead to September onwards, a drier than normal Short Rains season is likely across East Africa

droughts can have adverse impacts on water supplies and crop yield and quality, particularly if the drought occurs during the growing season.  Due to their rapid onset, communities and decision-makers often have less time to prepare for any potential impacts. In 2012, a severe flash drought

features in the Caribbean. Results are presented for the early wet season (May–July) and late wet season (August– October). There is a relative insensitivity to domain size for simulating some important features of the regional circulation and key rainfall characteristics e.g. the Caribbean low level

during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Wet or very wet in the west; normal in the east. (2) Note: Normal in eastern and central parts, but hot in the north, west and south (3) Note: Warm or hot in the southwest, normal in the northeast (4) Note: Warm or hot in the west, cool

of the region there is no clear consensus on whether the climate will be wetter or drier, although there is some evidence for a small delay to the start of the rainy season by mid-century in the north-east. The region has long coastlines with the Atlantic and Indian Oceans. The coastal regions bordering

, Dennis and Jorge, bringing wet and windy weather in February. The most noteworthy winter month was February, due to a rapid succession of named storms, rainfall totals were well above normal virtually everywhere, with many places getting more than three times their expected average. It was the wettest

conditions thereafter - this is the dry season, so observed rainfall totals were small. 3-Month Outlook September to November - Rainfall Outlook: Over the next three months, the West African Monsoon will move south. Many areas of west and central Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Eastern

balanced (Climatological Odds). This wet signal extends into northern Mozambique. Otherwise, much of southern Africa is more likely to be drier than normal, although in absolute terms the potential rainfall deficit is likely to be small as this is towards the end of the dry season. Tropical cyclones

Northern Ireland has had its third hottest summer on record, and Scotland its fourth. The summer of 2021 has been a season of contrasting fortunes across the UK, with the north and west of the UK experiencing a warmer, drier and sunnier season compared to average while parts of the south east have

this is more difficult, increasing health risk to humans. Analysis of the new data has shown that global annual / seasonal mean of maximum daily wet bulb temperature, a measure of humidity, has increased by around 0.2°C each decade between 1973-2022. This rate of change is even higher when looking