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• Pacific Ocean warming signals the possible return of a strong El Niño

  and temperature patterns across the globe, though impacts vary by region and by season. Areas close to the Pacific, such as parts of South America, can experience much wetter conditions, while regions including eastern Australia, Indonesia and parts of South‑East Asia often become drier and warmer than average

• PowerPoint Presentation

  , eastern parts of Kenya, coastal regions of northern Tanzania and western South Sudan. The predicted positive IOD will lead to an increased chance of and wetter than normal “Short Rains” season over East Africa though this doesn’t tend to peak until October and November. Much More Likely Below Normal Near

• PowerPoint Presentation

  and Southeast Asia ahead of the monsoon season. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature La Niña typically dampens the warming trend across tropical land areas but this influence is very likely to soon end as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) returns to a neutral state during the northern hemisphere spring

• arrcc_newsletter_1220pdf

  ARRCC newsletter View online version | Share with a friend Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) Met Office Partnership newsletter December 2020 Welcome Welcome to the latest edition of our ARRCC Met Office Partnership newsletter. This edition covers the period from October

• PowerPoint Presentation

  parts of southern Asia, Australasia, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, parts of Central and East Africa and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal

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  is lower than predictions for ENSO. Should a negative IOD establish then wetter than normal conditions become more likely across Australia and Southern Asia; drier than normal conditions in East Africa for the Short Rains season (October-November-December). 3-Month Outlook September to November 2020

• arrcc_newsletter_0921.pdf

  have also continued to provide support to BMD in the development of the new IBF product. The IBF pilot is due to launch during the forthcoming Tropical Cyclone season. Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) - work package 2 Skill of South Asian Precipitation Forecasts

• arrcc_newsletter_0921pdf

  have also continued to provide support to BMD in the development of the new IBF product. The IBF pilot is due to launch during the forthcoming Tropical Cyclone season. Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) - work package 2 Skill of South Asian Precipitation Forecasts

• Microsoft Word - PRECIS validation Christian Seiler v6

  % and -36% by 2100. This more intense cycle is also visible in the Sub-Andean mountain range with strongest precipitation decreases around August. In the highlands, this pattern reverses by 2100 with strongest relative precipitation in-and decrease during the dry- and wet season respectively. Because

• arrcc-oct2022-newsletterpdf

  Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) Met Office Partnership newsletter October 2022 Welcome Welcome to the final edition of our ARRCC Met Office Partnership newsletter. This edition covers the period from June to October 2022, highlighting some of our key activities and events