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  • Seasonal Climate Outlooks

    What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more

  • global-climate-outlook---september-2023-v2.pdf

    /. Additional Information: (1) Note: Wet in the south (2) Note: Very wet in the north (3) Note: Cool or cold in the north, hot in the south * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: June to March Current Status 11 Current Status

  • africa-climate-outlook---january-2026.pdf

    . Parts of Southern Africa, including Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi and parts of South Africa were wet or very wet in November and December. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall Outlook: The rainy season across southern Africa runs into the start of this period with its peak being from

  • africa-climate-outlook---january-2026pdf

    . Parts of Southern Africa, including Zambia, Zimbabwe, Mozambique, Malawi and parts of South Africa were wet or very wet in November and December. 3-Month Outlook February to April - Rainfall Outlook: The rainy season across southern Africa runs into the start of this period with its peak being from

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    developing is lower than predictions for ENSO. Should a negative IOD establish then wetter than normal conditions become more likely across Australia and Southern Asia; drier than normal conditions in East Africa for the Short Rains season (October-November-December). 3-Month Outlook September to November

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    season). 1. Note: Normal in the south, hot in the north 2. Note: Hot in the west, Normal in the east 3. Note: Normal in some central parts 4. Note: Normal but Very Wet in the far west 5. Note: Normal in the northwest 6. Note: Normal, but dry or very dry in parts of the northeast and southwest 7. Note

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    with a La Niña, a negative IOD can increase the effects of a La Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below

  • Pacific Ocean warming signals the possible return of a strong El Niño

    and temperature patterns across the globe, though impacts vary by region and by season. Areas close to the Pacific, such as parts of South America, can experience much wetter conditions, while regions including eastern Australia, Indonesia and parts of South‑East Asia often become drier and warmer than average

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    later in the season (56% chance during May-July 2022). The effects of La Niña are likely to remain wide-reaching during the northern hemisphere spring. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

  • PowerPoint Presentation

    of the wetter season for North Africa and the northern parts of the Middle East; however, some areas have experienced drier than normal conditions. During September to November, much of the Caribbean region was drier than normal although Haiti and Guyana experienced normal or above normal rainfall

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