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of the UK, with sunny spells developing widely. There is a small chance of a few light afternoon showers, mainly affecting eastern parts of Scotland and England. Later in the day, cloud will begin to thicken from the northwest, bringing the likelihood of mainly light rain by the evening. Winds will remain

, it will remain blustery across some north eastern parts through this afternoon, and it’ll feel cooler than yesterday with top temperatures reaching 17-18C. Scotland and Northern Ireland will stay mostly cloudy with some light showers whilst sunshine across England and Wales gives way to cloud

chance of a light morning shower in southern areas, but most places will enjoy a fine day. Temperatures will range from rather cool in the northwest to warm in the southeast, with highs of 24-26°C expected across central, southern, and eastern England. Isolated spots may reach 27°C. Temperatures

Tuesday will begin with low cloud across many areas, particularly in the east. While this cloud will gradually break up inland through the day, some eastern coastal regions may remain rather cloudy. A band of thicker cloud accompanied by light rain or drizzle will move south-southwest across

are expected to improve later in the day as the main band of rain clears southwards, giving way to sunny spells. Further north, much of Scotland and northern England will enjoy a brighter day with plenty of sunshine and light winds. However, cloud and patchy light rain are forecast to edge

is a little brighter. Variable cloud cover will dominate much of the country, with some sunny spells breaking through. However, as the day progresses, isolated showers may develop—especially in central and eastern areas. While most of these will be light, there is a low risk of heavier downpours in a few

across parts of northwest Scotland and possibly the north of Northern Ireland, where it will remain breezy. Elsewhere, light winds and variable cloud cover may bring the odd light shower, but these will be isolated. 🌡️ Heat is building across the UK this week, temperatures could reach 32-33°C

The impacts of extreme rainfall could be more frequent and severe than had previously been thought at the last UN climate conference, COP25, two years ago in Madrid. A new generation of climate models and the latest IPCC assessment (AR6) have provided a new light to look at the recent catastrophic

-member tropical cyclone tracks (left), probability plume of the same (centre) and box-whisker plots of central wind-speed and pressure (right). The solid cyan line shows the observations and previous forecasts to help gauge forecast performance of this system so far, top panel shows number of members

spots out of which the clouds evolve (top left). The clouds in their early stages of formation are depicted in the photograph at top right. When completely formed, the clouds have clear­cut horizontal bases and rounded tops (centre photographs). In this stage they are called ‘fair weather’ cumulus