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• PowerPoint Presentation

  with a La Niña, a negative IOD can increase the effects of a La Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below

• PowerPoint Presentation

  later in the season (56% chance during May-July 2022). The effects of La Niña are likely to remain wide-reaching during the northern hemisphere spring. With a couple of notable exceptions (including East Africa) La Niña, very broadly speaking, tends to increase the likelihood of wetter than normal

• PowerPoint Presentation

  of the wetter season for North Africa and the northern parts of the Middle East; however, some areas have experienced drier than normal conditions. During September to November, much of the Caribbean region was drier than normal although Haiti and Guyana experienced normal or above normal rainfall

• africa-climate-outlook---september-2023-v2.pdf

  (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Cold in the east, Warm or Hot in the southwest (2) Note: Wet in the south (3) Note: Hot in the west (4) Note: Wet in the north, Very Dry in the south (5) Note: Very Dry in the east (6) Note: Normal in the east Climate Outlook Africa: June to March

• PowerPoint Presentation

  of the Caribbean, wetter than normal conditions are likely, although the far south of Windward Islands and Guyana are more likely to be drier than normal. Tropical Cyclone outlook: Information can be found here. The climatological peak of the North Atlantic hurricane season is during September though

• Pacific Ocean warming signals the possible return of a strong El Niño

  and temperature patterns across the globe, though impacts vary by region and by season. Areas close to the Pacific, such as parts of South America, can experience much wetter conditions, while regions including eastern Australia, Indonesia and parts of South‑East Asia often become drier and warmer than average

• PowerPoint Presentation

  , eastern parts of Kenya, coastal regions of northern Tanzania and western South Sudan. The predicted positive IOD will lead to an increased chance of and wetter than normal “Short Rains” season over East Africa though this doesn’t tend to peak until October and November. Much More Likely Below Normal Near

• arrcc_newsletter_0921.pdf

  have also continued to provide support to BMD in the development of the new IBF product. The IBF pilot is due to launch during the forthcoming Tropical Cyclone season. Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) - work package 2 Skill of South Asian Precipitation Forecasts

• arrcc_newsletter_0921pdf

  have also continued to provide support to BMD in the development of the new IBF product. The IBF pilot is due to launch during the forthcoming Tropical Cyclone season. Strengthening Climate Information Partnerships South Asia (SCIPSA) - work package 2 Skill of South Asian Precipitation Forecasts

• PowerPoint Presentation

  and Southeast Asia ahead of the monsoon season. 3-Month Outlook March to May - Temperature La Niña typically dampens the warming trend across tropical land areas but this influence is very likely to soon end as El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) returns to a neutral state during the northern hemisphere spring