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Asia-Pac. J. Atmos. Sci., 52(4), 353-369, 2016 pISSN 1976-7633 / eISSN 1976-7951 DOI:10.1007/s13143-016-0004-1 Climate Change Projections over India by a Downscaling Approach Using PRECIS Prasanta Kumar Bal 1,2 , Andimuthu Ramachandran 1 , Kandasamy Palanivelu 1 , Perumal Thirumurugan 1 , Rajadurai

and parts of Malawi and Zambia were wetter than normal. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The next three months is peak rainy season across southern Africa. Large parts of this region have seen a dry start to the rainy season, exacerbated by an extreme heat wave for many

rainfall during the December-January- February (DJF), March-April-May (MAM) and September-October-November (SON) seasons resulting from increased number of days of rainfall and higher probabilities of a wet day following a dry day in a month. Based on these scenarios, the combination of the wetter

, it is likely to be wetter than normal. Looking further ahead across East Africa, the Short Rains season (from September) is increasingly likely to be drier than normal, particularly in coastal regions. Forecasts for concurrent La Niña and negative Indian Ocean Dipole, along with high-level agreement

Despite recent sunny weather, much of early spring had been rather dull, wet and unsettled.  Early provisional figures from the Met Office suggest a largely dull season so far, with March in particular seeing much fewer sunshine hours than average.   Several counties in the south of the UK

droughts can have adverse impacts on water supplies and crop yield and quality, particularly if the drought occurs during the growing season.  Due to their rapid onset, communities and decision-makers often have less time to prepare for any potential impacts. In 2012, a severe flash drought

-Month Outlook July to September - Rainfall Meanwhile, conditions have been more mixed across southern Africa; April was wet in many places, whilst March and May had relatively normal rainfall overall. Outlook: Whilst the ‘Long Rains’ season officially ended in May, it is likely to be wetter than

coming to end. Rainfall returning to normal for most of these areas though Cameroon is likely to be wetter than normal. Signals are weak across East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia, Kenya and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than normal whilst parts of Tanzania and Mozambique

characteristics of the East Asian Summer Monsoon compared to regional scale models, including the daily cycle of rainfall across many regions of China. Li et al (2019) focussed on an event in 2016 where 600mm of rainfall fell over parts of eastern China in just 6 days leading to catastrophic flooding

than normal conditions across East Africa in April gave way to a normal May, coinciding with the end of the Long Rains season. It’s been normal to very dry in June. 3-Month Outlook August to October - Rainfall Central Africa was very dry in May but wet conditions prevailed in Chad during June