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arrcc_carissa_ws4_extreme_ppn_analysis_part_2_process-based_evaluation.pdf
). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled
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02427 Central Asia Summary Infographic
Climate risks identified for the Central Asia region by the 2050s Agriculture and food security • Crop yields across Central Asia could increase in cooler, wetter areas as temperatures rise, and decline in hotter, lowland areas as aridity increases, with mixed impacts on crop production overall
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PowerPoint Presentation
Outlook Africa: November to August Overview 3 Likely Likely Much More Likely Africa Current Status and Outlook - Rainfall Current Status: During the rainy season over Southern Africa, many areas were wet or very wet in November and December. Nearer normal conditions were observed in January
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Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA)
The aim of the CARISSA project was to improve the uptake and use of regional climate change information across South Asia.
monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal - Available here. Part IV - Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia - Available here Climate Risk Narratives for the hydropower sector in Nepal - Available here Summary note on Observational rainfall datasets in Nepal
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PowerPoint Presentation
, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season
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PowerPoint Presentation
and policies impact future climate resilience, and who should be engaged in further work. Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/international-development/arrcc © Crown Copyright | Met Office 2022 Using Climate Risk Narratives to Climate Risk
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PowerPoint Presentation
it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models
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PowerPoint Presentation
while Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October- December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry between July and September. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa over the last three months, this time of year is the dry
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PowerPoint Presentation
East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than average whilst Tanzania and surrounding areas are likely to be wetter than average. Rains across southern Africa start to increase during November and December. Signals are currently limited
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PowerPoint Presentation
Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely