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The South Asian summer monsoon directly affects the lives of around one billion people, providing 80% of annual rainfall in the region.

1970 Asia has been hit by more than 5000 natural disasters. In India, and indeed across most of South Asia, many of the natural hazards are related to the weather and climate of the South Asian monsoon.  Forecasting the precise timing and location of the rains is vital to the region's economy, which

and the IRI Map Room: http://iridl.ldeo.columbia.edu/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). (1) Note: Large variations across the country. (2) Note: Hot in the north, cold in the south. (3) Note: Hot in north and west. (4) Note: Very wet

to identify if climate change has altered the likelihood or intensity of extreme events, as well as provide an insight into similar events around the world in the future. Climate dynamics and predictability  Events such as El Niño and the East Asian Summer Monsoon are linked to extreme events

What is the Seasonal Climate Outlook? Following the El Nino event in 2015, the Met Office worked with the UK Government’s Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) and the University of Reading to design a new service which would provide insights into the upcoming season and enable more

but probabilities of a wetter season than last year and of 10-year extremes are presented. A wetter season than 2018 is favoured in most boxes east of 30E and between 10N and 10S. Elsewhere a drier season than 2018 is likely in most grid boxes. Probabilities of a season drier than any in the past 10 years (2009

ARRCC newsletter View online version | Share with a friend Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) Met Office Partnership newsletter December 2020 Welcome Welcome to the latest edition of our ARRCC Met Office Partnership newsletter. This edition covers the period from October

Forecasts for the north-east part of Brazil between 0° S to 10° S and east of 50° W for the February to May wet season.

The wet season is between February and May with considerable year-to-year and decade-to-decade variability. The forecasts are produced using a combination of dynamical forecast models and statistical predictions and include predictions of the most likely of five rainfall categories (very wet, wet

PROCEEDINGS Regional workshop on climate services for the water and hydropower sectors in South Asia 24–26 September 2019 Kathmandu, Nepal Copyright © 2019 International Centre for Integrated Mountain Development (ICIMOD) The Met Office, UK National Meteorological Service This work is licensed

% and -36% by 2100. This more intense cycle is also visible in the Sub-Andean mountain range with strongest precipitation decreases around August. In the highlands, this pattern reverses by 2100 with strongest relative precipitation in-and decrease during the dry- and wet season respectively. Because

. Amer. Meteor. Soc., 96 (12), S1–S172. Citing a section (example): Yoon, J. H., S.-Y. S. Wang, R. R. Gillies, L. Hipps, B. Kravitz, and P. J. Rasch, 2015: Extreme fire season in California: A glimpse into the future? [in “Explaining Extremes of 2014 from a Climate Perspective”]. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc