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02427 SEA Summary Infographic

at risk from climate-related losses, threatening livelihood support and wider ecosystem services valued at USD 14 trillion. • Southeast Asian forests are at risk from increasing drought-related dieback and forest fires. Both the length of wildfire seasons, and the areas that are susceptible to them

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and policies impact future climate resilience, and who should be engaged in further work. Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/international-development/arrcc © Crown Copyright | Met Office 2022 Using Climate Risk Narratives to Climate Risk

ARRCC-infographic-v5

seasonal outlooks at regional and national level. Collaborative assessment of 12 dynamical seasonal prediction systems conducted, assessing ability to predict South Asian seasonal precipitation and temperature during two key monsoon seasons; southwest (June-September) and northeast (October

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/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

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and very wet in the east * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: June to March Current Status 10 Current Status – Western Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall June July August June July August Ghana

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Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely

scos_impact_story_final.pdf

outlook in real time at the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF). This outlook provides a joint assessment of the upcoming season over South Asia to offer guidance to the region’s NMHSs for their preparations of national-level seasonal outlooks and to support climate-sensitive sectors

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Current Status: 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall The latter part of the West Africa Monsoon season was active with many areas wetter than in September. Conditions have been wetter than normal in Central Africa with the Democratic Republic of Congo very wet in November. Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya

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rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August September July August September Mauritania Mixed (1) Mixed (1) Hot Very Wet Normal* Mixed (2) Morocco

arrcc_newsletter_0621.pdf

plan has been developed for Nepal with the aim to test the enhanced national seasonal forecast product during the October to December 2021 and December to February 2021/22 seasons. Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA) - work package 3 Developing gridded climate

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