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Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA)

The aim of the CARISSA project was to improve the uptake and use of regional climate change information across South Asia.

monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal - Available here. Part IV - Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia - Available here  Climate Risk Narratives for the hydropower sector in Nepal - Available here Summary note on Observational rainfall datasets in Nepal

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/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

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and very wet in the east * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: June to March Current Status 10 Current Status – Western Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall June July August June July August Ghana

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Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely

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Current Status: 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall The latter part of the West Africa Monsoon season was active with many areas wetter than in September. Conditions have been wetter than normal in Central Africa with the Democratic Republic of Congo very wet in November. Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya

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rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: July to April Current Status 10 Current Status – MENA – North Africa Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall July August September July August September Mauritania Mixed (1) Mixed (1) Hot Very Wet Normal* Mixed (2) Morocco

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which was very wet, and Nigeria which was wet. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall DRC was very dry in September, with a mix of dry and wet conditions in October and November. Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October-December, most parts of East Africa

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of the MENA region over the next 3 months, it is likely to be wetter than normal - this is typically a dry period, so rainfall amounts are likely to be small. The exception is western Yemen where it is likely to be drier than normal - this is the wet season, so there is a risk of drought developing

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of the Middle East, rainfall was near-normal over the last three months, exceptions being parts of Turkey and Syria which were wet in November. In North Africa, the Caribbean and British Overseas Territories it was near-normal in September, and dry in October and November. Outlook: Over the next three

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and policies impact future climate resilience, and who should be engaged in further work. Asia Regional Resilience to a Changing Climate (ARRCC) https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/services/government/international-development/arrcc © Crown Copyright | Met Office 2022 Using Climate Risk Narratives to Climate Risk

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