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seasonal outlooks at regional and national level. Collaborative assessment of 12 dynamical seasonal prediction systems conducted, assessing ability to predict South Asian seasonal precipitation and temperature during two key monsoon seasons; southwest (June-September) and northeast (October

, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

plan has been developed for Nepal with the aim to test the enhanced national seasonal forecast product during the October to December 2021 and December to February 2021/22 seasons. Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA) - work package 3 Developing gridded climate

outlook in real time at the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF). This outlook provides a joint assessment of the upcoming season over South Asia to offer guidance to the region’s NMHSs for their preparations of national-level seasonal outlooks and to support climate-sensitive sectors

it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models

East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than average whilst Tanzania and surrounding areas are likely to be wetter than average. Rains across southern Africa start to increase during November and December. Signals are currently limited

while Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October- December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry between July and September. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa over the last three months, this time of year is the dry

of the DRC. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall Outlook: The peak in the rainy season across southern Africa occurs at this time of year. For northern parts of South Africa, southern Mozambique, Zimbabwe and the far south of Zambia, drier than normal conditions are most likely. Conversely, wetter

/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely