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scos_impact_story_final.pdf

outlook in real time at the South Asian Seasonal Climate Outlook Forum (SASCOF). This outlook provides a joint assessment of the upcoming season over South Asia to offer guidance to the region’s NMHSs for their preparations of national-level seasonal outlooks and to support climate-sensitive sectors

arrcc_newsletter_0621.pdf

plan has been developed for Nepal with the aim to test the enhanced national seasonal forecast product during the October to December 2021 and December to February 2021/22 seasons. Climate Analysis for Risk Information & Services in South Asia (CARISSA) - work package 3 Developing gridded climate

PowerPoint Presentation

, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

PowerPoint Presentation

it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models

PowerPoint Presentation

East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than average whilst Tanzania and surrounding areas are likely to be wetter than average. Rains across southern Africa start to increase during November and December. Signals are currently limited

PowerPoint Presentation

while Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October- December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry between July and September. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa over the last three months, this time of year is the dry

What can the world expect from the developing El Niño?

on the atmosphere potentially raising the average global temperature; very likely to a new global record this year or next. There are anticipated impacts in regions adjacent to the Pacific; notably southeast Asia and eastern Australia, where we could see drier than average conditions which could

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Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely

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/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

PowerPoint Presentation

and very wet in the east * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: June to March Current Status 10 Current Status – Western Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall June July August June July August Ghana

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