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November for the upcoming winter season. Winter impacts on the UK During winter (December to February), a strongly positive NAO index increases the likelihood of milder-than-average temperatures in northern Europe, including the UK. It also raises the chance of wetter conditions, especially

). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled

and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

and collaboration for communication of forecasts and risk prior to onset of the forthcoming monsoon season. Blast and rust forecast New emerging strains of wheat rust disease in South Asia, in combination with changes to climate, pose a threat to farmers’ livelihoods. An ARRCC pilot project is adapting

and emergency management authorities improve preparedness ahead of the tropical cyclone season by providing insights into the number of cyclones that may occur in a region. Through WCSSP Southeast Asia, researchers from institutes in the UK, the Philippines and Vietnam have identified a new approach

The aim of the CARISSA project was to improve the uptake and use of regional climate change information across South Asia.

monsoon-season rainfall extremes in Nepal - Available here. Part IV - Understanding and quantifying extreme precipitation events in South Asia - Available here  Climate Risk Narratives for the hydropower sector in Nepal - Available here Summary note on Observational rainfall datasets in Nepal

it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models

, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than average whilst Tanzania and surrounding areas are likely to be wetter than average. Rains across southern Africa start to increase during November and December. Signals are currently limited

while Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October- December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry between July and September. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa over the last three months, this time of year is the dry