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  and Southeast Asia. This is consistent with the warming observed in the past decade. Below normal temperatures are likely for southern Australia, parts of mainland Southeast Asia and parts of Peru and Ecuador. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very

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  variability, models are in fairly good agreement in predicting a slight increase in the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts

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  Territories. It is likely to be wetter than normal in Guyana. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The Atlantic Tropical Cyclone season is now near its peak with seven named storms (up to 22 nd Sept). September typically sees peak activity with the season continuing through October and November before ending

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  wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: July to April Overview 6 Current Status Current Status maps MENA – Middle East

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  three months and especially prior to the dry season many parts of the Middle East recorded below normal rainfall. During the same period the Caribbean and British Overseas Territories have seen near-normal or below normal rainfall. Outlook: For much of the Middle East and North Africa the next three

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  three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Below Normal Near

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  ), with a potential transition during the spring 2021 (~50% chance of Neutral during April-June).” For the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal

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  areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia, mainly India, owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

• cssp_china_science__cyclone.pdf

  ) tropical cyclone landfall risk for East Asia was issued to Chinese partners. The forecast provides an indication of whether the number of tropical cyclones that would make landfall along the eastern coast of China is above or below average for the upcoming summer season. Climate Science for Service Partnership China scientific highlights

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  El Niño fully develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian