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    and December. In southern Africa, it was very wet in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of this region. The start of this season is likely to be drier than normal in Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda

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    of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts of Malaysia and much of Indonesia. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa are more likely to experience

  • scipsa_gcm_verification_supplementary_information_final_sascof_borderspdf

    precipitation. Precipitation is spatially averaged over South Asia and each of the country-specific domains in the plot titles. The black line represents the line of best fit between the 12 points. Figure A17-ii - As caption for Figure 17-iError! Reference source not found., but for the OND season.

  • scipsa_gcm_verification_supplementary_information_final_sascof_borders.pdf

    precipitation. Precipitation is spatially averaged over South Asia and each of the country-specific domains in the plot titles. The black line represents the line of best fit between the 12 points. Figure A17-ii - As caption for Figure 17-iError! Reference source not found., but for the OND season.

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    on global temperatures through this period. Consistent with a warming climate, nearly all land areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons

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    typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed

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    than normal conditions are more likely. Across parts of western Africa, wetter than normal conditions are likely for Nigeria, Cameroon and Ghana. Conversely, drier than normal conditions are more likely for Liberia, Sierra Leone and parts of Mali. This time of year is the dry season for southern

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    this period. The South Asian Monsoon (SAM) is underway with the northward shift of rains close to climatology in terms of timings. Predictions for the SAM remain finely balanced with mixed signals from longer range forecast systems. Overall, wetter than normal conditions are more likely for many

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    months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

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    was very dry and Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba were very wet in March. Outlook: Across much of the Caribbean and northern parts of South America, drier than normal conditions are likely. Early indications for the tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic basin suggest below normal activity

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