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  than normal conditions are more likely. Across parts of western Africa, wetter than normal conditions are likely for Nigeria, Cameroon and Ghana. Conversely, drier than normal conditions are more likely for Liberia, Sierra Leone and parts of Mali. This time of year is the dry season for southern

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  typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed

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  months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

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  this period. The South Asian Monsoon (SAM) is underway with the northward shift of rains close to climatology in terms of timings. Predictions for the SAM remain finely balanced with mixed signals from longer range forecast systems. Overall, wetter than normal conditions are more likely for many

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  was very dry and Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba were very wet in March. Outlook: Across much of the Caribbean and northern parts of South America, drier than normal conditions are likely. Early indications for the tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic basin suggest below normal activity

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  Mediterranean regions of northwest Africa (Morocco, Alegria and Tunisia) and southwest Europe. Across the Caribbean it is likely to be drier than normal in the far north and wetter than normal in the far south. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic Hurricane season has now ended, though further storms

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  and Southeast Asia. This is consistent with the warming observed in the past decade. Below normal temperatures are likely for southern Australia, parts of mainland Southeast Asia and parts of Peru and Ecuador. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very

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  variability, models are in fairly good agreement in predicting a slight increase in the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts

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  Territories. It is likely to be wetter than normal in Guyana. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The Atlantic Tropical Cyclone season is now near its peak with seven named storms (up to 22 nd Sept). September typically sees peak activity with the season continuing through October and November before ending

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  wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: July to April Overview 6 Current Status Current Status maps MENA – Middle East