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of hail or even the odd rumble of thunder in the southwest. Winds will be strong, with coastal gales at first, though these will become confined to the far southwest and northeast later. A patchy frost is possible in parts of western Scotland where skies clear, but it will be milder elsewhere

, and as we move through next week often below average temperatures could support a mixture of rain, hail sleet and snow. Most of any snow accumulation is likely over higher parts of the northern UK.  “However, at this point significant differences in the computer models emerge. Most solutions lead

, and has been plotted in 5-minute intervals below. Radar imagery Initial analysis of 5 km radar data, indicates that some points may have had over 100 mm in just 3 to 4 hours. Please note: The empirical relationship between radar reflectivity and rainfall rate is fixed whereas in reality this is highly dependent on precipitation type and is very different for rain and hail. Last updated: 6 November 2012 © Crown Copyright

overnight 7th/8th, heaviest in the west, followed by sunshine and showers on the 8th, the showers locally thundery with hail. After a dry and bright start for many on the 9th, rain spread from the west and gave 78.0 mm at Mickleden (Cumbria). A slow-moving frontal system brought mostly cloudy weather

. The 24th was cloudy with persistent rain across the Midlands moving north-east and another rain band in the south-west then moved eastwards across the south. A er a dry bright start for eastern counties, the 25th was a day of sunshine and showers with hail and thunder in places. The 26th was bright

and western Scotland, Northern Ireland and around Irish Sea coasts.  The gales could mean there are temporary blizzard conditions as well as a risk of hail and thunder in some places. Rain will affect the south today and may turn to sleet or snow as it crosses the south east and East Anglia

and hail will be additional hazards. “By tonight, the thunderstorms in the south of England are expected to ease, leaving behind largely dry and fine conditions. Temperatures will be cooler than recent nights, particularly away from the southeast.” Friday continues the showery theme, with a risk of heavy

of these showers could turn heavy, with hail and thunder possible in places. However, showers will generally become less frequent later in the day, allowing for some drier and brighter spells to develop. Temperatures will be close to the seasonal average, providing a typical late August feel. ⚠️ Yellow

bringing a mixture of rain, hail, sleet and snow, most frequently across parts of the north and west.” There are then strong signals for a change to northeasterly winds towards the end of next week. As we go through the rest of the month and into February the longer-range outlook indicates

of Wednesday with the heaviest and most frequent snow showers then likely across northern and western Scotland, Northern Ireland and around Irish Sea coasts. There will be coastal gales as well as a risk of hail and thunder in some locations. Other parts of the UK could still see some snow at times