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  of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts of Malaysia and much of Indonesia. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa are more likely to experience

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  on global temperatures through this period. Consistent with a warming climate, nearly all land areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons

• 02427 Central Asia climate infographic-v4

  changes, and vary geographically. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan are unlikely to become significantly wetter on average, but there is medium confidence for wetter winter and spring months in higher elevation Central Asia (eastern Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, northern Afghanistan

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  typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed

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  than normal conditions are more likely. Across parts of western Africa, wetter than normal conditions are likely for Nigeria, Cameroon and Ghana. Conversely, drier than normal conditions are more likely for Liberia, Sierra Leone and parts of Mali. This time of year is the dry season for southern

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  this period. The South Asian Monsoon (SAM) is underway with the northward shift of rains close to climatology in terms of timings. Predictions for the SAM remain finely balanced with mixed signals from longer range forecast systems. Overall, wetter than normal conditions are more likely for many

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  months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

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  was very dry and Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba were very wet in March. Outlook: Across much of the Caribbean and northern parts of South America, drier than normal conditions are likely. Early indications for the tropical cyclone season in the Atlantic basin suggest below normal activity

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  Mediterranean regions of northwest Africa (Morocco, Alegria and Tunisia) and southwest Europe. Across the Caribbean it is likely to be drier than normal in the far north and wetter than normal in the far south. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic Hurricane season has now ended, though further storms

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  and Southeast Asia. This is consistent with the warming observed in the past decade. Below normal temperatures are likely for southern Australia, parts of mainland Southeast Asia and parts of Peru and Ecuador. 3-Month Outlook October to December - Temperature Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Very