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areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia, mainly India, owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More

three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa and the Middle East are likely to be drier than normal. Below Normal Near

three months and especially prior to the dry season many parts of the Middle East recorded below normal rainfall. During the same period the Caribbean and British Overseas Territories have seen near-normal or below normal rainfall. Outlook: For much of the Middle East and North Africa the next three

El Niño fully develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian

develop, then the chance of heatwaves, drought and wildfire increases across parts of southern and southeast Asia and Australia, and wetter than normal conditions may be experienced across parts of East Africa, central Asia and the Middle East. Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) – The Indian Ocean Dipole

northward shift of rains will see the onset of the South Asian Monsoon (SAM). Wetter than normal conditions for much of the Indian subcontinent, Sri Lanka, as well as parts of southeast Asia are likely over the next three months. This may reflect either an early onset of the SAM, or a more intense

) tropical cyclone landfall risk for East Asia was issued to Chinese partners. The forecast provides an indication of whether the number of tropical cyclones that would make landfall along the eastern coast of China is above or below average for the upcoming summer season. Climate Science for Service Partnership China scientific highlights

: Wet in the south, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Current Status 12 Current Status – Eastern Africa (2) Current Status: Temperature Current Status: Rainfall January February March

elsewhere (3) Note: Wet in parts of the north, normal* elsewhere (4) Note: Very Dry in the north, normal* elsewhere * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Climate Outlook Global: October to July Current Status 11 Current Status – Caribbean Current

land areas. Large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, along with the south of India, Central America, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of the Caribbean are likely to be wetter than normal. Much of Australia is also likely to be wetter. Meanwhile, much of the Middle East