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• Improving seasonal forecast services for resilience

            South Asia is a varied and complex region that is highly vulnerable to the effects of climate change. Monsoons are a dominant feature of the season here, with the region typically experiencing a pre-monsoon, the Southwest summer monsoon, post-monsoon and the Northeast winter monsoon

• PowerPoint Presentation

  : Over the last three months, the dry season continued across the Middle East and southern Europe with little rainfall observed other than in the Western Highlands of Yemen, where it has been wet. Parts of Mauritania and Eritrea where the northern extent of the West Africa Monsoon has generated areas

• PowerPoint Presentation

  /climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts For the next three months, wetter than normal conditions are likely across much of south and southeast Asia, as well as Australia. Wetter than normal conditions are also likely for parts of southeast Africa, as well as central

• arrcc_carissa_ws4_future_rainfall-v2.pdf

  at three regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the Co- Ordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) South Asia initiative and conclude that precipitation in the wet season will decrease within a range of 0 to -16%, with an associated reduction in hydropower electricity production of up

• PowerPoint Presentation

  hemisphere monsoons commence. Some influence of the current negative IOD will be maintained, possibly until mid-December. A negative IOD increases the likelihood of wet conditions across Southeast Asia and much of Australia, and dry conditions across East Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near

• PowerPoint Presentation

  ://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/climate/seasonal-to-decadal/gpc-outlooks/el-ninola-nina/enso-impacts For the next three months, wetter than normal conditions are likely across much of south and southeast Asia, as well as Australia. Wetter than normal conditions are also likely for parts of southeast

• PowerPoint Presentation

  most of the US and Caribbean, the Middle East extending east across Central Asia towards Japan, as well as Malaysia/Indonesia and adjacent countries. Notable exceptions to this are northern parts of South America, which is accompanied by wetter than normal conditions (see slide 6). The Pacific

• PowerPoint Presentation

  that the October-December (OND) rainy season could also fail.” The full statement can be seen here. A more active West Africa Monsoon has resulted in wet or very wet conditions in west Africa in the last three months, and parts of the Sahel during July and August. After a wet June, rainfall has been mixed

• PowerPoint Presentation

  be the fifth consecutive poor or failed rainy season, further exacerbating the already severe humanitarian emergency in the region. Wetter than normal conditions are likely for much of southern Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Climate Outlook Africa: July to April

• PowerPoint Presentation

  exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia, mainly India, owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: February to November Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook June