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East Africa during the ‘Short Rains’ season. Somalia and eastern Ethiopia are likely to be drier than average whilst Tanzania and surrounding areas are likely to be wetter than average. Rains across southern Africa start to increase during November and December. Signals are currently limited

it was very wet at times in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique, particularly during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of the region. The season is likely to be drier than normal, with most long-range forecasting models

while Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October- December, most parts of East Africa had near-normal rainfall or were dry between July and September. Rainfall was mostly near-normal in Southern Africa over the last three months, this time of year is the dry

, cold in the east, normal elsewhere (3) Note: Hot in west, and far east. Normal elsewhere. (4) Note: Large variations in the populated areas. Largely normal overall. (5) Note: Very Wet in west, normal in east. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season

/maproom/. * Region usually experiences less than 10mm/month rainfall during the month (dry season). Additional Information: (1) Note: Hot southwest, normal elsewhere (2) Note: Cool/cold In the southeast; normal or warm elsewhere. (3) Note: Wet or very wet in central and northern areas, normal elsewhere

between June and November peaking in September. In the southern hemisphere, the season lasts from November to April but storms remain less common here than in the northern hemisphere. More than one tropical storm can occur in the same ocean and region at once. Due to the coriolis effect, the storm's

Niña, enhancing wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa - of particular concern given the current drought conditions in the Horn of Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely

Current Status: 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall The latter part of the West Africa Monsoon season was active with many areas wetter than in September. Conditions have been wetter than normal in Central Africa with the Democratic Republic of Congo very wet in November. Uganda, Rwanda and Kenya

). For example, many RCM experiments for the South Asia region present dry biases over the monsoon season, but wet biases over the Himalayas that are sometimes larger than those seen in the driving GCM simulations (Janes et al., 2019). In this assessment we also consider a set of statistically downscaled

which was very wet, and Nigeria which was wet. 3-Month Outlook January to March - Rainfall DRC was very dry in September, with a mix of dry and wet conditions in October and November. Chad and Niger were wet in September. Ahead of the Short Rains season in October-December, most parts of East Africa