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Indonesia/Malaysia and northern/eastern Australia. Over the next three months, large parts of southern Asia, Australasia, northern parts of South America, along with southern parts of Africa are likely to be wetter than normal. Meanwhile, much of West, Central and East Africa, Central Asia

and December. In southern Africa, it was very wet in South Africa, Zimbabwe and Mozambique during November and December. Outlook: The East African Long Rains season runs from March until May across most of this region. The start of this season is likely to be drier than normal in Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda

of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts of Malaysia and much of Indonesia. Meanwhile, large swathes of Africa are more likely to experience

changes, and vary geographically. Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan are unlikely to become significantly wetter on average, but there is medium confidence for wetter winter and spring months in higher elevation Central Asia (eastern Uzbekistan, Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, northern Afghanistan

and hot, dry weather). The temperate zones are divided into the Mediterranean climates with mild, rainy winters and hot, dry summers, and the temperate rain belts with rain in all seasons. On the eastern margins of the continents, especially in Asia, the subtropical desert zone and the Mediterranean

months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

on global temperatures through this period. Consistent with a warming climate, nearly all land areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons

typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed

this period. The South Asian Monsoon (SAM) is underway with the northward shift of rains close to climatology in terms of timings. Predictions for the SAM remain finely balanced with mixed signals from longer range forecast systems. Overall, wetter than normal conditions are more likely for many

Mediterranean regions of northwest Africa (Morocco, Alegria and Tunisia) and southwest Europe. Across the Caribbean it is likely to be drier than normal in the far north and wetter than normal in the far south. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic Hurricane season has now ended, though further storms