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at three regional climate model (RCM) simulations from the Co- Ordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) South Asia initiative and conclude that precipitation in the wet season will decrease within a range of 0 to -16%, with an associated reduction in hydropower electricity production of up

months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Africa: January to October Overview 5 Global Outlook - Rainfall Outlook: 3-Month Outlook

and hot, dry weather). The temperate zones are divided into the Mediterranean climates with mild, rainy winters and hot, dry summers, and the temperate rain belts with rain in all seasons. On the eastern margins of the continents, especially in Asia, the subtropical desert zone and the Mediterranean

typically bring an increased likelihood of drier than normal conditions in East Africa and wetter than normal conditions in southern Africa. For the next three months, below normal rainfall is likely across many parts of East Africa with a weakened ‘Short Rains’ season here. Signals are more mixed

this period. The South Asian Monsoon (SAM) is underway with the northward shift of rains close to climatology in terms of timings. Predictions for the SAM remain finely balanced with mixed signals from longer range forecast systems. Overall, wetter than normal conditions are more likely for many

precipitation. Precipitation is spatially averaged over South Asia and each of the country-specific domains in the plot titles. The black line represents the line of best fit between the 12 points. Figure A17-ii - As caption for Figure 17-iError! Reference source not found., but for the OND season.

on global temperatures through this period. Consistent with a warming climate, nearly all land areas are likely or very likely to experience warmer than normal conditions through the next three months. The main exceptions over parts of Africa and southern Asia owing to likely active monsoon seasons

Mediterranean regions of northwest Africa (Morocco, Alegria and Tunisia) and southwest Europe. Across the Caribbean it is likely to be drier than normal in the far north and wetter than normal in the far south. Tropical Cyclone outlook: The North Atlantic Hurricane season has now ended, though further storms

variability, models are in fairly good agreement in predicting a slight increase in the likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across central Asia and drier than normal conditions across parts of southeast Asia; however there is an increased likelihood of wetter than normal conditions across parts

wetter than normal conditions in parts of Australia and Asia, and drier than normal conditions in East Africa. Much More Likely Below Normal Near-Normal Above Normal Likely Likely Much More Likely Climate Outlook Global: July to April Overview 6 Current Status Current Status maps MENA – Middle East